[뉴데일리 여론조사] Yoon Seok-yeol and Hong Jun-pyo both win over Lee Jae-myung… Gap outside the margin of error

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In the virtual bilateral confrontation of next year’s presidential election, the People’s Power candidates Yoon Seok-yeol and Hong Jun-pyo both outperformed Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung out of the margin of error, a survey found. As suspicions of preferential treatment for apartment development projects in Baekhyeon-dong have been raised following Daejang-dong, it seems that People’s Power candidate Lee Jae-myung is getting ahead of candidate Lee Jae-myung.

As a result of a survey of 1006 voters nationwide for two days on the 29th and 30th by PNR (People Networks Research), a polling company commissioned by New Daily and Sisa Gyeongnam, in the virtual bilateral confrontation between Lee Jae-myung and Yoon Seok-yeol, Candidate Yoon was 42.4% and Candidate Lee was 31.6%. recorded The gap between the two candidates is 10.8%p, which is outside the error range (±3.1%p). ‘None’ is 6.4%, and ‘Don’t know/no answer’ is 1.5%. The gap widened more than last week’s survey (a difference of 5.3%p).

All regions and age groups, except for Honam and those in their 40s, are ahead of the curve… 30’s have an advantage within the margin of error

By region, Candidate Seok-Yeol Yoon surpassed Candidate Jae-Myung Lee in all regions except Honam.

In Daegu and North Gyeongsang Province, Seok-Yeol Yoon (60.1%) and Jae-Myeong Lee (19.0%) showed the highest gap. In Seoul, Yoon Seok-yeol 40.3%, Lee Jae-myung 25.9%, Busan, Ulsan, Gyeongnam Yoon Seok-yeol 46.9%, Lee Jae-myung 24.1%, Gangwon-Jeju Yoon Seok-yeol 43.5% Lee Jae-myung 30.9%, Daejeon, Sejong, and Chungcheong, Yoon Seok-yeol 44.2%, Lee Jae-myung 33.2%.

On the other hand, in Honam, candidate Lee Jae-myung scored 51.0%, far ahead of candidate Yoon Seok-yeol, who got 28.1%. In Gyeonggi and Incheon, Yoon Seok-yeol 39.9% and Lee Jae-myung 36.1% showed a close battle.

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By age group, in their 20s (aged 18 or older), the approval rate of Candidate Yoon was 33.7%, ahead of Candidate Lee, who got 20.0%. Candidate Yoon also showed a higher approval rate than Candidate Lee in those in their 50s (Suk-Yeol Yoon 46.2%, Jae-Myung Lee 36.6%), those in their 60s (Suk-Yeol Yoon 58.1%, Jae-Myung Lee 28.7%), and those in their 70s (Suk-Yeol Yoon 59.7% and Jae-Myung Lee 28.3%).

On the other hand, in their 30s, Yoon Seok-yeol was 32.1% and Lee Jae-myung 30.8%, and in their 40s, Lee’s approval rate was 43.0%, leading to Yoon (29.8%).

Preliminary candidate Hong Joon-pyo also widens the gap with Lee Jae-myung compared to last week’s survey

In the virtual bilateral match between Jae-myung Lee and Jun-pyo Hong, Candidate Hong won 39.9% and Candidate Lee 30.9%. The gap between the two candidates is also 9.0%p, which is also out of the margin of error. ‘None’ was 9.9%, and ‘Don’t know/no answer’ was 4.7%. Hong Joon-pyo 39.5% and Lee Jae-myung 37.6%, the gap is wider than last week, when the battle was within the margin of error.

By region, Candidate Hong also defeated this candidate in all regions except Honam. Candidate Hong is Lee from Seoul (Junpyo Hong 41.5%, Jaemyung Lee 26.9%), Daegu and Gyeongbuk (Junpyo Hong 41.5%, Jaemyung Lee 21.3%), Busan, Ulsan and Gyeongnam (Junpyo Hong 51.3% 20.0%), and Gangwon and Jeju (Junpyo Hong 35.8% and Jaemyung Lee 27.8%) far ahead of the candidates.

On the other hand, in Honam, Candidate Lee gained 48.7% of the vote, ahead of Candidate Hong with 33.2%. Gyeonggi-Incheon (Hong Jun-pyo 37.5%, Lee Jae-myung 35.4%) and Daejeon, Sejong, and Chungcheong (Hong Jun-pyo 34.3% and Lee Jae-myung 33.5%) did not show a large gap.

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By age group, Candidate Lee outranked Candidate Hong only in their 40s and 50s. In the 20s (age 18 and over), Hong Jun-pyo 56.2%, Lee Jae-myung 21.6%, Hong Jun-pyo 49.5% Lee Jae-myung 30.0%, 60s Hong Joon-pyo 33.9% Lee Jae-myung 27.3%, Hong Jun-pyo 31.0% and Lee Jae-myung 24.9%. On the other hand, Hong Jun-pyo 34.6% and Lee Jae-myung 40.9% in their 40s, Hong Jun-pyo 33.5% and Lee Jae-myung 37.3% in their 50s.

Won Hee-ryong is within the margin of error, Yoo Seung-min is outside the margin of error

In this survey, Candidate Hee-ryong Won was found to be behind Candidate Jae-myung Lee within the margin of error, and Candidate Seung-min Yoo was found to be behind candidate Jae-myung Lee by more than the margin of error.

In the virtual bilateral match between Jae-myung Lee and Hee-ryong Won, Candidate Won won 27.2% and Candidate Lee 33.3%. The gap is 6.1%p, which is within the margin of error. In the virtual bilateral match between Jae-myung Lee and Seung-min Yoo, Candidate Yoo showed a gap of 11.4%p with 20.7% approval and 32.1% approval for Candidate Lee. out of the margin of error.

In a virtual bilateral confrontation survey targeting only the People’s Power supporters and shamans, Yoon Seok-yeol (61.7%) vs. Lee Jae-myung (8.5%), Hong Jun-pyo (53.6%) vs. Lee Jae-myung (7.5%), Won Hee-ryong (39.7%) vs. Lee Jae-myung (9.9%) ), Yoo Seung-min (27.6%) vs. Lee Jae-myung (9.6%).

The results of the virtual bilateral confrontation survey, which were limited to the supporters of the People’s Power, were similar to those of the survey including the shamans. The approval rating for each candidate was Seok-Yeol Yoon (69.9%) vs Jae-Myung Lee (4.9%), Jun-Pyo Hong (56.9%) vs Jae-Myung Lee (4.0%), Hee-Ryong Won (44.0%) vs Jae-Myung Lee (6.0%), Seung-Min Yoo (29.8%) vs Jae-Myung Lee (6.3%). ) was.

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This survey was conducted using a wired and wireless automatic answering phone survey method. The subjects were selected at the rate of 85% mobile phone RDD and 15% landline RDD, and the final response rate was 5.6% and the sampling error was ±3.1%p at the 95% confidence level. After the survey was completed, weighted values ​​for each region, gender, and age were assigned (rim weighted) based on the resident registration population of the Ministry of Public Administration and Security in June 2021.

For a detailed overview and results of the survey, please refer to the website of the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee.

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