With the Tokyo Olympics approaching on the 23rd as of today (30th), the number of new corona infections in Tokyo has increased for ten days in a row as of yesterday, compared to the same day of the week a week ago. On Sunday, June 20, there were 376 people, exceeding the 304 people on the 13th a week ago, and it is increasing by at least 20 people and as many as 150 people (26th) for ten days. In particular, this increase has continued since the declaration of a state of emergency for the coronavirus, which was lifted on the 20th, and many medical experts are expressing strong concern. Some experts say that the so-called ‘fifth wave’, called ‘fifth wave’ in Japan, started in Tokyo.
Currently, in Japan, 10 metropolitan governments, including Tokyo, have been issued ‘prevention measures’, just before the state of emergency. The epidemic prevention measures are a system that allows the Japanese government to request the closure of restaurants and multi-use facilities or restrictions on business hours under the authority of local government heads. Earlier this year, the Infectious Disease Special Measures Act was established under a state of emergency. . In the case of Tokyo, in accordance with the epidemic prevention measures, restaurants are required to be open until 8:00 pm, and alcoholic beverages are only served until 7:00 pm for groups of two or less. Failure to do so may result in a fine of up to 200,000 yen (approximately KRW 2.1 million) to the restaurant.
Coincidentally, as the epidemic prevention measures are applied, the number of new infections is increasing again. After experiencing an emergency for two months, the floating population in Tokyo’s major downtown areas is steadily increasing, and although alcohol consumption is limited, the increase in infection seems difficult to catch. Here, the highly contagious ‘delta mutation’ tends to replace the existing virus, so the warning of a ‘fifth epidemic’ by experts is never taken lightly.
As the infection situation worsened again just 20 days before the Olympics, the Japanese government started discussing with the Tokyo Metropolitan Government about extending Tokyo’s epidemic prevention measures, which were originally until July 11, the Mainichi Shimbun reported today. I did. The newspaper reported that the Japanese government and the Tokyo Metropolitan Government are adjusting the measures to prevent epidemics from being extended by two weeks or as long as four weeks. Even if the extension is extended by two weeks, the Tokyo Olympic Opening Ceremony (July 23) will be issued with anti-epidemic measures. It will open under the circumstances. The Japanese government’s original intention was to lift the emergency measures a month before the Olympics and to catch the infection rate before the Olympics as a pandemic prevention measure, but it seems difficult to lift even the epidemic prevention measures due to the immediate spread of the infection.
What is of interest here is the size of the audience for the Tokyo Olympics, which was decided on the 21st in a five-party consultation between the Japanese government, the Tokyo Olympic Organizing Committee, Tokyo Metropolitan Government, the International Olympic Committee (IOC) and the International Paralympic Committee (IPC). It is a decision to accommodate up to 10,000 spectators within 50% of the stadium capacity. At this time, if an emergency or epidemic prevention measures are issued in Tokyo during the Olympics, additional discussions including no spectators will be held. This is attached. Therefore, if it is decided to extend the epidemic prevention measures for at least two weeks in Tokyo as discussed by the Japanese government and the Tokyo Metropolitan Government, the Tokyo Olympics spectator size of ‘50% of the stadium capacity, up to 10,000 people’ can be readjusted.
1. Public opinion is still ‘indifferent’
According to a joint opinion poll conducted by the Tokyo Shimbun with Tokyo MX TV and JX News for two days on the 26th and 27th (phone survey of 1,07 Tokyo voters), 79.8% of respondents were worried about the spread of infection due to the hosting of the Olympic Games that accommodate spectators. replied that he felt Only 12.2% answered that they did not feel anxious. Even though the poll was conducted with less than a month left before the Olympics, 42.4% still wanted the Olympics to be canceled. To that extent, the public opinion of Tokyo residents prevails, saying, “I hope the Olympics will not be held because the spread of infection is uncertain.” Foreign players have already started to come to Japan, so if you can’t cancel it, there are a lot of voices telling you to at least do it without spectators.
2. The Japanese Government ‘Nonchi’
Japanese media analyzes that Prime Minister Suga’s intentions were strongly reflected in the decision to accept spectators for the Tokyo Olympics. According to a report by the Sankei Shimbun on the 22nd, Prime Minister Suga proposed ‘accommodating up to 10,000 people’ in consultations with Olympic Minister Tamayo Marukawa and Minister of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology Koichi Hagiuda on the 15th. Although the opinion that ‘10,000 people are too many and should be 5,000 people’ centered around the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare, the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare in charge of Corona, spread, but Prime Minister Suga issued the ‘10,000 card’ with the emergency and the lifting of epidemic prevention measures in mind. that it was pushed out. However, the situation is definitely worse now than a week ago, when the number of infections in Tokyo was decreasing, so if extension of the epidemic prevention measures becomes strong, it is difficult for Prime Minister Suga to continue to insist on ‘10,000 people’. Currently, within the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare, it is said that the majority opinion is that ‘in this situation, it is inevitable to hold the event without spectators’. Even within the government, opinions are divided over the size of the Olympic spectators.
3. The variable is ‘ticket’… And?
As the number of spectators for the Tokyo Olympics on the 21st was decided to be ‘up to 10,000’, the Tokyo Organizing Committee decided to refund 910,000 tickets that were already sold, which could not be entered due to the limit of the number of people. He also announced that the results of the ‘re-lottery’ to reduce the number of valid tickets will be announced on the official sales site on the morning of the 6th of next month. Therefore, it seems that the redraw will be held at least 5 days in advance. Since this is a redraw based on the ‘10,000 people’ standard, if the audience size is reduced here again, there is a possibility that another lottery will be drawn later. The organizing committee may be in a situation where they have to redraw the lottery several times (which they don’t want to do). In order to prevent this, it seems that there may be a movement to set the size of the audience before the redrawing takes place in the next two or three days. Under the current circumstances, an extension of the epidemic prevention measures for at least two weeks is inevitable, and if the extension is decided, the scale of ‘10,000 people’ will have to be reduced. Therefore, Prime Minister Suga may break his stubbornness and announce that he will reduce the size of the Olympic spectators to ‘5,000’, the upper limit of admission to sports stadiums under the epidemic prevention measures, and hold a re-lottery accordingly, or preemptively decide ‘no spectators’ at all. There is. Either way, it seems difficult to keep the ‘10,000 people’ decided on the 21st as it is.
Another variable is Tokyo Governor Koike. Governor Koike returned to town after a week-long ‘rest’ in the morning of today (30th). Last interview file[
▶보러가기]As predicted by the Tokyo Metropolitan Assembly elections (July 4), it is a return to the last minute of the campaign period. In the Tokyo Metropolitan Assembly elections, the Tokyo Metropolitan Government related to the Tokyo Olympics can show a presence at this point in the Tokyo Metropolitan Assembly elections. of Corona measures. Considering the public opinion in Tokyo mentioned above, there is a possibility that Governor Koike will come forward with an ‘open without spectators’ plan ahead of the Japanese government. This is because the current situation in which the Japanese government is unable to unify the size of the audience is an opportunity for Governor Koike to show ‘determination’. Governor Koike said that he would see official business ‘online’ for now, but many people are focusing on the mouth of Koike to see what his voice will be about the size of the Olympic spectators.
(Photo = Getty Images Korea)