“It is unknown whether the North Korean claim ‘Hwasong-17’ multiple warhead bombs … Potential”
(Pyongyang KCNA = Yonhap News) North Korea conducted a test launch of a new intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) Hwasong-17 under the guidance of Chairman Kim Jong-un on the 24th, KCNA reported on the 25th. 2022.3.25
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(Beijing = Yonhap News) Correspondent Cho Jun-hyung = Chinese experts analyzed that the intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) test-fired by North Korea on the 24th resembles the UR-100N, a liquid fuel ICBM developed during the former Soviet Union.
According to a Chinese media observer network on the 28th, military expert Wang Shichun said that the Hwasong-17 (based on the name announced by North Korea) is a typical liquid fuel ICBM, and the length of the fuselage is estimated to be 24m, which is longer than that of the Hwasong-15 (21m), and the diameter is also Hwaseong. It was analyzed that it was around 2.8m longer than the -15 type (2.4m).
Wang evaluated that the structure, size, and direction of development of the Hwasong-17 type was similar to the UR-100N developed by the Soviet Union in the 1970s.
In addition, military expert Meng Hujing (pen name), who contributed to the same media, also evaluated that the Hwasong-17 type is similar to the UR-100N in size.
However, the weight of the warhead that the Hwasong-17 can fire is estimated to be ‘less than 3 tons’ assuming that it is sent to the mainland of the United States, so it has lower thrust than the UR-100N, which can send more than 4 tons 10,000 km away, Meng evaluated. .
Meng estimated that the Hwasong-17 missile’s internal space utilization is less than that of the UR-100N, so it has a relatively light weight that can be blown away.
He also diagnosed that Hwasong-17 is a two-stage missile in appearance, but it is not certain whether there is a third propellant (auxiliary propellant) required for speed increase and multiple warhead launch under the warhead. If it had a third propellant, the Hwasong-17 would most likely have multiple warheads (MIRV), he said.
Meng said, “So far, North Korea’s missile surveillance radars from the US and Japan have not reported the presence of multiple warhead targets. Although the Hwasong-17 has the potential to be promoted to a multiple warhead missile, it does not yet have the characteristics of a modern ICBM. It doesn’t seem like it,” he said.
In addition, Meng analyzed that the mobile missile launcher (TEL) that appeared during the launch of the Hwasong-17 has a longer wheel diameter, higher center of gravity, and slower movement compared to those of China and Russia. He estimates that the total weight of the TEL will exceed 165 tons.
Meng said, “Postponing the size of the Hwasong-17, it has solidified its position as a ‘medium’ in the world ICBM world. 41, it has an edge over Russia’s RT-2PM2 and Yars.”
He added that North Korea’s ICBM miraculously realized three things: medium-sized, liquid fuel, and mobility at the same time. there,” he said.
jhcho@yna.co.kr
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