WASHINGTON – The climate in New York City in 60 years can now be like Arkansas. Chicago seems to be like Kansas City and San Francisco could get a climate in southern California if global warming continues to be at the current speed.
In 2080, North Carolina's capital, Raleigh, could be more like Florida's capital, Tallahassee, and there will be a bigger climate like the capital of the country just north of Delta Mississippi, if the world is waiting for its current carbon pollution trend. Miami may also be south in Mexico and that there are beautiful emotions in the Des Moines, Iowa, in the future that they would just like from Oklahoma.
According to the Tuesday study in the Natural Communications magazine that explains a better climate change effort.
"The children are alive today, like my daughter with 12 of them, they are going to see a big change in the climate. It's already under way," said the lead author, Matt Fitzpatrick. He is an ecological professor at the University of Maryland Center of Environmental Sciences at Frostburg, Maryland, which will not be considered much more famous for the modern climate of today's Kentucky.
But if the world recovers its emissions of carbon dioxide, hitting around 2040, the New York climate can stay closer to the town, feeling more like central Maryland, and climate Chicago become like Dayton, Ohio.
Fitzpatrick looked at 12 variables on 540 U.S. and in Canadian cities under two climate change cases to find out what the future might feel in a way that could be understood by a regular person. It has averaged the climate results from 27 different computer models and found the city with the most similar to the futuristic story.
"Wow," said Victor Gensini, a climate scientist in Northern Illinois, who was not part of the study. "Science here is just a great way to give the local scale user an impact."
The 540 cities move at an average of 528 miles (850 kilometers) on the southwest climate, if carbon emissions are progressing. If the world reduces, the cities move on average 319 miles (514 kilometers).
The city is greater than Wasilla, Alaska, and if it feels back from Wisconsin, 11 times warmer in the summer. It is a change of around 2,720 miles (4,379 kilometers).
"The productions that interfere with our own experiences reflect a lot of sense," said Kathie Dello, a state University climate scientist, Oregon, who was not part of the study and did not like what he shows for his region. "Communicating to Portland's people that the climate in the late 21st century is likely to be more like the hot Mid-Valley of India, it is the aim".
People can check how their closest city might be at: https://fitzlab.shinyapps.io/cityapp/