for the Covid situation in Thailand Currently opening the country on November 1, 2021
while the country is in a slow downtrend Issues that all parties are keeping an eye on is how the infection rate, morbidity rate and mortality rate change. after the opening of the country
Considering the following information makes it reasonably predictable.
1. Deaths from Covid in Thailand Found in the risk group up to 95% and found in only 5% of the people who are not at risk.
1.1 Elderly over 60 years found 73%
1.2 People under 60 years of age with congenital disease: 22%
1.3 under 60 years of age and without underlying disease, found 5%
2. The average death rate in October 2021 is 78 deaths per day.
2.1 On October 1, 2021, the third wave of deaths was 16,756.
2.2 On November 1, 2021, the third wave of deaths was 19,166.
2.3 More deaths in October 1867
2.4 Average 78 deaths per day
3. Vaccination in high-risk groups
3.1 Over 60 years of age, 54.6% have received the second dose of vaccination.
3.2 under 60 years of age but with congenital disease vaccinated 56.4%
3.3 Among the elderly, there are 10.90 million people.
3.4 Among the seven chronic disease groups, there were 6.34 million people.
4.1 Must be injected in the elderly 45.4%
4.2 Must inject 43.6% of the group with congenital disease
5. The outcome If vaccinated in high-risk groups 100%
5.1 will reduce mortality by 95% from 78 to 4 deaths per day
5.2 If you think carefully Complete math calculations will reduce deaths by 83.15% from 78 to 13 per day
Therefore, when it is necessary to open the country to relax the economic and social dimensions to move forward
After almost two years of the coronavirus outbreak Therefore it is imperative that everyone can understand.
But concern is understandable as well. There is an increased risk of infection, sickness and death.
What can be done well is reducing the number of deaths to 4-13 per day
which can be done by accelerating the mobilization of approximately 10 million doses of vaccination for the elderly and people with seven congenital diseases;
It will reduce the mortality rate by 83-95%, even if the number of infected people has not decreased.
The mobilization of vaccination in the two risk groups mentioned above. is therefore an important measure that the government should expedite action during the opening of this country
As for the COVID-19 vaccination situation in Thailand, “Economic base”, following data from the Ministry of Public Health, found that from February 28 to November 2, 64, there were 77,014,092 doses of cumulative vaccination, divided into 42,815,600 first doses, and 31,730,365 second doses. Number 3, 2,468,127 cases
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