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Doctor Manoon predicts that the number of Covid-19 cases in Thailand will be 8 times higher than reported.

Dr. Manoon Leechawengwong reveals who has contracted COVID-19 In fact, in Thailand, it is likely to be 8 times higher than reported, pointing to the turning point in reducing mortality is vaccines, suggesting that you have to accept and learn to live with covids.

Today (9 Aug. 21) Dr. Manoon Leechawengwong, a respiratory specialist Wichaiyut Hospital Posted through his personal Facebook, “Mr Manoon Leechawengwong FC” compares the number of deaths from AIDS and COVID-19, stating that during 40 years of caring for people with HIV. V More than 40 million people have died from AIDS worldwide. 35 million people are still living with HIV. More than 600,000 Thai people have died from AIDS. There are still Thai people infected with HIV. More than 4 hundred thousand people live

Antiretrovirals are a game changer from 40 years ago without drugs. There are currently more than 30 effective antiretroviral drugs available to help people with HIV live longer than normal people. Although there is no HIV vaccine yet.

COVID-19 since the beginning of the outbreak The total number of deaths worldwide is 4.3 million, the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases is 203 million. calculated by the number of deaths divided by the number of infected equal to 2.1%. This number is probably higher than it actually is.

US experts estimate that the actual number of infections in the US must be multiplied by 4, for India it must be multiplied by 28.

Thailand reported 6,204 deaths, cumulative cases 756,505, mortality rate 0.82%. The actual number of cases in Thailand is likely to be about eight times higher than the reported figure, as more aggressive testing for the coronavirus is much lower than other countries. Therefore, the mortality rate should be reduced by 8 times to 0.1 percent.

Assuming that every 70 million people in Thailand are infected. There will be 70,000 deaths, much less than AIDS. A game changer in reducing coronavirus death rates is a vaccine, regardless of brand It can reduce serious illness and death by 10 times compared to unvaccinated people.

Today’s antiviral drugs for COVID-19 Still not as effective as antiretroviral drugs 30 years ago if a new antiviral drug as good as the flu drug comes out next year. The number of critically ill patients and deaths will drop further.

Personally, I estimate that every 1,000 people in Thai people are infected with the coronavirus.

– 950 people have mild flu-like symptoms do nothing disappear by itself Most did not go to the doctor.

– 30 people have a mild cough, may go into the lungs, need to see a doctor

– 20 people have to sleep in the hospital. Of those numbers, 5 out of 20 people who sleep in the hospital have a very serious condition. Moved into the ICU, 2 out of 5 people sleep in the ICU. People wearing ventilators and 1 in 2 people wearing ventilators die 0.1 percent of all coronavirus cases.

However, Dr. Manoon said that Thai people should not be worried. too much stress You have to accept and learn to live with covid. Although the deaths of new patients continued to rise during this period.

information from Mor Manoon Leechawengwong FC