■ Program Name: ET Integrated Newsroom
■ Name of the corner: ET WHY?
■ Broadcast Time: December 6th (Tue) 17:50~18:25 KBS2
■ Performer: Lee Hyeon-cheol, director of the Apartment Cycle Research Centre
■ Homepage
https://news.kbs.co.kr/vod/program.do?bcd=0076&ref=pMenu#20221206&1
[앵커]
Win first, worry later. In the housing underwriting market, the term “post-election bear” has long been in vogue. But not anymore. The atmosphere suddenly changed to the Sungom Hudang. Dunchon Jugong Apartment, the largest reconstruction complex in Korea that started accepting subscriptions, is no exception. Are Seoul’s unbeaten subscriptions a thing of the past now? I would like to ask Lee Hyeon-cheol, director of the Apartment Cycle Research Institute. Warden, how are you?
[답변]
Hello?
[앵커]
Dunchon Jugong, who said that, have you finished fighting?
[답변]
Yes. Now that the sale has begun, it should be seen that some sort of agreement has been reached and some result drawn. So, did you stop fighting now?
[앵커]
Meanwhile, many people were interested in the Qatar World Cup, but in the housing market, this Dunchon Jugong was the World Cup.
[답변]
Yes. you’re right.
[앵커]
Should I go in here or not? Firstly, we started accepting subscriptions yesterday. How is the atmosphere at the moment?
[답변]
I made a special attack, but looking at the results of the subscription, 3.3:1 came out as an average, and in the case of some balance beams, the atmosphere was a little lower than I thought, to the extent that it fall short If you look at it now, in the case of type 39A, newlyweds are assigned, 301 households were assigned, but only 90 households were accepted. And in the case of type 48A, this is the amount allocated to households with multiple children, 62 households were allocated, but 45 households.
[앵커]
this is too short
[답변]
Yes, I just applied.
[앵커]
First of all, Olympic Park Foreon from here, you must want something like that. That’s the name of the new apartment in Dunchon Jugong.
[답변]
Yes. It’s a new name.
[앵커]
And if it’s 39A, it’s about 15 pyeong, if you do it in the past. 48A is about 19 pyeong.
[답변]
It is about 19-20 pyeong.
[앵커]
If you have more than 3 children here, how can 5 people including mother and father live in 19 pyeong? Isn’t that why I fell short?
[답변]
In fact, there are very few such aspects. This kind of thing also happened in the old bull market, but it was rare in the bull market, and later it was sold out and the price actually went up. So in that case, I’m buying it because the price is going up somehow, but in this case, the timing is a little uneasy.
[앵커]
Yes.
[답변]
Honestly, do 5 people have to live on a platform like this? This concern is increasing.
[앵커]
Yesterday was special supply, and from today, general supply and prime subscription started. How do you see it? Will it be sold out this time? Or do you see it as unsold?
[답변]
In fact, special service tends to have a slightly higher competition rate than general sales, right?
[앵커]
By the way, I heard it’s 3.3:1?
[답변]
Yes. If you look at it that way, I have a feeling that the rate of competition for overall sales is not likely to be higher than expected. Then, looking at the current atmosphere, we are entering a situation where the possibility of falling short is visible.
[앵커]
So, unsold sales will be good, but you can even see uncontracted sales at the actual contract stage.
[답변]
Yes.
[앵커]
Anyway, the most interesting thing from people’s point of view is that if they get this sale, they will decide whether it will be money or not. First of all, can you not feel the charm of the sale price, or that it is so low?
[답변]
Right now, when the pre-sale price was originally arranged, the pre-sale price was about 29 million won, right? But this time, when the pre-sale price was set, it was set at 38.29 million won. The pre-sale price has risen nearly 10 million won, so if you look at it, the pre-sale price is 84㎡.
[앵커]
Lord Dunchon.
[답변]
Yes. Between 1.2 and 1.3 billion has been won.
[앵커]
Is that the option fee? Did you deduct the extension fee?
[답변]
Yes. If you add the option fee to this, it comes out to 1.4 billion won This kind of talk is coming out now, but really, when you judge whether the price pre-sale expensive or cheap, you always compare it with comparable apartments around you.
[앵커]
Yes. A typical example is Heliocity.
[답변]
Yes. A typical example is Helio City, which recorded 2.3 billion in September last year alone. Then, for example, if Dunchon Jugong had sold at this price in September last year.
[앵커]
It must have sold out.
[답변]
In fact, it is an atmosphere where there is a market profit of almost 1 billion, right? Therefore, it is expected that the competition rate would be very fierce even after it was sold out, but the problem is that Helio City has dropped to 1.7 billion now. And now the asking price is 1.6 billion, right? Then, of course, this price range is not expensive. It’s not expensive, but now it’s time to question whether something will relatively rise from here.
[앵커]
And the move-in period is 2025.
[답변]
Yes That is correct.
[앵커]
If you buy it now, your money will be tied up at that price, but in 2025, if Helio City falls further and falls further below it, then you might be more disappointed, isn’t it?
[답변]
Yes. You said something important, but really, when analyzing real estate, you should never always analyze with vertices. You have to look at the trend Actually, the pre-sale price is fixed, so it’s good to compare, but next to the neighborhood, especially in the case of Helio City, the current trend is a trend on down. Then, next year or the year after that, will it end at 1.7 billion? If you look at it that way, you will feel that the pre-sale price of Dunchon Jugong is relatively expensive.
[앵커]
In a rising market where housing prices have been rising for a while, people don’t really care about bailouts or anything, right?
[답변]
Yes.
[앵커]
At a time when house prices are declining like now, I think I look at Dunchon Jugong flats very sensitively in that regard because I pay attention to every single structure.
[답변]
Yes. These days, whenever Dunchonjugong’s story comes up, the kitchen scene comes out as a joke.
[앵커]
kitchen scene.
[답변]
So it appears in the 84㎡ E type, where the kitchens face each other, and even the distance is about 2.5m.
[앵커]
2.5m is a reachable distance by hand if someone’s house, please give me a pinch of salt, almost like that graphic.
[답변]
Yes. If you leave the window open while washing dishes together, your face right now, like the publisher and I, wash dishes from this distance and if something is missing, put a little of salt for me.
[앵커]
So, the fact that a problem like this structure, which was not controversial in the bull market, is now controversial means that the price is burdensome.
[답변]
Yes.
[앵커]
So, you are now anticipating unsold sales, but if Dunchon Jugong’s unsold situation occurs, even in the main subscription. The impact of the real estate market on others, the overall impact, how should we see this?
[답변]
In fact, now, in some ways, the whole nation is focusing their attention on Dunchon Jugong, and the reason is that it is a very big generation and then it is a generation that became a problem in Seoul, so its success will influences the atmosphere of the real estate market in Seoul. . Therefore, the current subscription atmosphere is a catastrophic loss to some extent, then there is a possibility that it will play a role in further accelerating the Seoul real estate market in the downward direction because it leads Just like that, Dunchon Jugong has the potential to create such an atmosphere.
[앵커]
If you listen to the director now, it sounds like Dunchon Jugong, so it’s better not to go to the subscription, but I still have enough points for the subscription and those who need a house on this can time to look, right? These people, if I win, I think I need to consider what kind of regulations I will be subject to.
[답변]
After winning, the first thing is that there are restrictions on reselling. Resale restrictions apply for 8 years.
[앵커]
I can’t sell it, until then.
[답변]
So you cannot resell for 8 years, and in the second case, you have a residence obligation? Therefore, you must live there for 2 years unconditionally. There is that liability, and then there is a balance sheet that cannot be used for interim payment loans. So, the price that interim payment loans are not available is 1.2 billion, right? However, in the case of 84㎡, it is now a balance sheet exceeding 1.3 billion.
[앵커]
no loan
[답변]
Please note that interim payment loans are not available.
[앵커]
The ballast water below that is an interim payment loan, but I have to pay it very quickly because I get a loan while the house is almost built.
[답변]
Yes.
[앵커]
The subscription needs to be decided by considering the ability to pay any interest.
[답변]
Yes. You will have to take that into account and plan your finances.
[앵커]
OK. ET PAM, director Lee Hyeon-chul, was with us. Thank you
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