There have been fewer than 10,000 confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in Hong Kong for two consecutive days. Kong Fanyi, a clinical professor of the Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, said on a radio program this morning (28th) that the overall trend of the epidemic is improving, but there are still a considerable number of infected people in the community , the rate of decline will not be too fast, and it is expected that it will take 2 to 3 weeks before the number of confirmed cases in a single day will fall below 1,000 confirmed cases.
Kong Fanyi believes that if more than 90% of the population is vaccinated with 3 doses of vaccine in June, and about 4 million to 5 million people in Hong Kong have been infected, it is believed that herd immunity has reached a certain level, and the outdoor “mask order” can be lifted. Social distancing measures, including restoring restaurants to 100% occupancy, allowing a table of up to 12 people, reopening all recreational facilities, and allowing schools to resume face-to-face teaching. However, he stressed that the epidemic will not end and will “relapse” every year. In the future, citizens will be vaccinated with boosters before every winter.
Regarding the Chief Executive Officer of the Hospital Authority, Gao Basheng, yesterday, a preliminary analysis of the death cases found that about 40% of the deaths were obviously due to the new crown, and about 30% were not related. Kong explained that if a patient is infected with the new crown virus and develops pneumonia, regardless of whether there are other complications, the preliminary judgment is also a death of the new crown.
He also pointed out that because the actual number of infected people may have exceeded 4 million, the predicted number of infections should be used as the denominator to calculate the death rate, rather than the number of confirmed cases announced by the government, that is, 1 million people. higher than the flu.
He Bailiang, director of the Center for Infection and Infectious Diseases of the University of Hong Kong, said that there are still more than 200,000 elderly people over 70 years old who have not been vaccinated, and the vaccination rate is slow. He believes that after the government gradually relaxes social distancing in April, the epidemic will rebound. It will lead to the sixth wave of the epidemic.
Ho suggested that the first dose of Fubitai should be quickly vaccinated for the elderly before the gradual relaxation. He also suggested that the elderly who have been vaccinated with Kexing should be transferred to Fubitai to strengthen protection. Elderly people who have injections, follow up with vaccinations.
He also pointed out that according to the data, the current rate of prescription of oral drugs for COVID-19 by the Hospital Authority is 60%, which is not ideal.
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