Nikkei 225 Witnesses Foreign Selling amid Economic Uncertainty
According to recent data from the Tokyo Stock Exchange, foreign investors have made a significant shift in their investment strategy. Risk-averse selling has surged due to mounting concerns over economic uncertainty in China and the possibility of an interest rate hike in the United States. As a result, the Nikkei Stock Average dropped by 1,022 yen to 31,450 yen, marking its sharpest decline in two weeks.
In the third week of August (14th to 18th), net sales reached a total of 741.5 billion yen, the highest amount recorded in approximately five months since March. This steep decline follows the previous week’s net purchase of 179.9 billion yen, highlighting the volatility of the current investment landscape.
Moreover, foreign investors also exhibited net sales of Nikkei 225 futures, TOPIX futures, Nikkei 225 mini futures, TOPIX mini futures, and Nikkei 225 micro futures, marking the first time in two weeks that they have veered away from net buying. The total net sales in futures and spot trading amounted to 833 billion yen, reversing the trend of net purchases witnessed in the previous two weeks.
Trust banks, a key indicator of pension fund activity, continued their net sales streak for the fourth consecutive week. Although the net sales decreased from 271.9 billion yen to 106.7 billion yen, it still signifies a persistent selling trend amongst these important investors.
In contrast, individual investors emerged as net buyers after a two-week hiatus, with a net purchase amounting to 355.8 billion yen. This sudden spike in buying activity can be attributed to individual investors seizing the opportunity presented by the market’s abrupt downturn.
Furthermore, business corporations, which have primarily focused on purchasing their own shares, have consistently appeared as net buyers for seven weeks in a row. The amount of their net purchases has expanded to 321 billion yen, signifying a sustained confidence in the market.
Despite the overall decline in the Nikkei Stock Average, there remains a dichotomy between the actions of foreign and individual investors. While foreign investors have engaged in substantial net sales amounting to 741.5 billion yen, individual investors have demonstrated a desire to buy.
Trade Value Difference by Investment Division (August 14-18)
- Foreign investors: Net sales of 7,415 million yen
- Trust banks: Net sales of 1,067 million yen
- Total individuals (cash/credit): Net purchases of 3,558 million yen (1,984/1,573)
- Nikkei Stock Average: 31,450 yen (-1,022 yen)
It is important to note that trust banks reflect the trading trends of pension funds such as the Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF). On the other hand, “individual/cash” refers to spot trading trends by individual investors, while “individual/credit” signifies margin trading trends.
Within the current investment landscape, the Tokyo Stock Exchange has witnessed significant changes in the behavior of foreign and individual investors. As economic uncertainty persists, it remains to be seen how these trends will develop in the future.
Nikkei 225
According to the trading trends (spot) by investment sector for the third week of August (14th to 18th) published by the Tokyo Stock Exchange on the 24th, risk averse selling had swelled due to economic uncertainty in China and concerns about an interest rate rise. in the United States, and the Nikkei Stock Average was 31,450 yen, down 1,022 yen from the previous weekend, which fell sharply for the first time in two weeks. Net sales totaled 741.5 billion yen, the most in about five months since the second week of March. The previous week was a net purchase of 179.9 billion yen. Foreign investors also posted net sales of Nikkei 225 futures, TOPIX futures, Nikkei 225 mini futures, TOPIX mini futures and Nikkei 225 micro futures for the first time in two weeks. Net sales totaled 91.4 billion yen. Net buying of 467.9 billion yen last week. The net selling amount for the first time in two weeks was 833 billion yen even in the total of spot and futures. Trust banks, which are said to reflect the buying and selling trends of pension funds, posted net sales for the fourth consecutive week, with net sales shrinking from 271.9 billion yen in the previous week to 106.7 billion yen.
On the other hand, individual investors were net buyers for the first time in two weeks, and the net purchase amount was 355.8 billion yen. Net sales were 239.5 billion yen the previous week. It appears that individuals with strong contrarian intentions bought it due to the sudden drop in the market price. Business corporations, which appear to be mostly buying their own shares, have been net buyers for seven consecutive weeks, and the amount of net purchases has widened from 143 billion yen in the previous week to 321 billion yen.
Although the Nikkei Stock Average fell sharply, foreign investors sold net sales for the first time in eight weeks with net sales of 741.5 billion yen, while individual investors appeared to be buying.
■ Trade Value Difference by Investment Division (August 14-18)
The total domestic common stock market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange and the Nagoya Stock Exchange[Sylfaen gwarantau cynhwysfawr (cyfanswm o 51 o gwmnïau)]
* Unit: 100 million yen (fractions less than 100 million yen rounded down) ▲ indicates net sales
Foreign investors Trust banks Total individuals[ 現金 信用 ]Nikkei Stock Average (versus previous week)
August—
Week 3 ▲7,415 ▲1,067 3,558[ 1,984 1,573 ]31,450 yen (-1022 yen)
Week 2 1,799 ▲2,719 ▲2,395[ ▲1,983 ▲411 ]32,473 yen (+280 yen)
Week 1 188 ▲1,822 2,661[ ▲370 3,032 ]32,192 yen (-566 yen)
July—
Week 4 738 ▲944 ▲1,303[ ▲1,918 614 ]32,759 yen (+454 yen)
Week 3 197 472 126[ ▲1,018 1,144 ]32,304 yen (-87 yen)
Week 2 2,793 ▲2,603 1,801[ 582 1,219 ]32,391 yen (+¥2)
Week 1 313 ▲386 3,687[ 858 2,828 ]32,388 yen (-800 yen)
June—
Week 4 3,041 ▲1,331 ▲1,027[ ▲1,745 718 ]33,189 yen (+407 yen)
Week 3 ▲3,604 ▲4,074 3,446[ 305 3,141 ]32,781 yen (-924 yen)
Week 2 6,414 ▲821 ▲5,777[ ▲6,351 573 ]33,706 yen (+1440 yen)
Week 1 9,854 ▲535 ▲4,819[ ▲4,998 179 ]32,265 yen (+740 yen)
May—
Week 5 5,352 ▲7,344 388[ ▲1,095 1,484 ]31,524 yen (+607 yen)
Week 4 3,816 ▲2,421 ▲442[ ▲1,922 1,479 ]30,916 yen (+107 yen)
Week 3 7,476 ▲936 ▲9,273[ ▲8,124 ▲1,149 ]30,808 yen (+1420 yen)
Week 2 5,658 ▲1,473 ▲3,054[ ▲3,310 255 ]29,388 yen (+230 yen)
Week 1 1,602 ▲346 ▲2,815[ ▲2,247 ▲567 ]29,157 yen (+301 yen)
April —
Week 4 1,458 ▲994 ▲1,049[ ▲1,872 823 ]28,856 yen (+292 yen)
Week 3 2,760 ▲622 ▲2,577[ ▲2,953 376 ]28,564 yen (+70 yen)
Week 2 10,494 ▲2,170 ▲4,230[ ▲3,430 ▲799 ]28,493 yen (+975 yen)
Week 1 6,796 ▲4,032 2,103[ ▲313 2,416 ]27,518 yen (-523 yen)
* “Trust Bank” is a sector that reflects the trading trends of pension funds such as the Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF). “Individual/cash” is the trading trend of spot trading by individual investors, and “Individual/Credit” is the trading trend of margin trading by individual investors.
*The BOJ’s purchases of ETFs (exchange traded funds) as part of its monetary easing measures are believed to be done through the proprietary trading departments of securities firms that arrange ETFs.
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