Medical Genome Center posted a message on Facebook. Center for Medical Genomics revealing good news for the outbreak ofCovid-19 species “Delta” that experts from around the world agree that Pandemic around the world (Pandemic) of species “Delta” is changing to endemic epidemic (Endemic) within 6 months or 1 year after this
definition of “Pandemic” (Pandemic/global) is an epidemic that spreads around the world, such as the Spanish influenza outbreak in 1918. (Spanish flu) The outbreak of the new swine flu 2009 and the latest outbreak ofCovid-19 in +122 countries around the world while “Endemic (endemic disease)” is a disease that occurs regularly in that area has a stable morbidity rate and can predict The boundaries of an area can be a city, country, or larger. such as a group of countries or continents such as dengue fever in Thailand Malaria in Africa
Professor Dame Sarah Gilbert (Professor Dame Sarah Gilbert) Pioneers of many different types of vaccines, including vaccines.AstraZeneca (AstraZeneca) against diseaseCovid-19 The University of Oxford said that if we find that the virus is spreading from person to person more quickly. The severity of the disease is reduced (Figure 1).
which is clearly evident coronavirus causing coronavirus mutation “Delta” There are different mutations from the original virus. “Wuhan” More than 70 positions, more than all species at the moment. It can spread rapidly over all species. And replace every species in the human body from all countries around the world unparalleled. (no competitor) therefore no pressure(pressure) to have a virus SARS-CoV-2 A more serious version of the Delta species (image 2-3).
species “Delta” spread quickly will be weaker all the time and should not be mutated causing more harm because if there is a mutation to evade immunity to more as in the case of species “Beta” This will result in a sharp change in protein. until binding to human cells to invade badly which will result in reduced transmission of infection, as in the case of “Beta” and replaced by viruses that infect more rapidly, such as alpha, delta and gamma. “Delta” The symptoms are estimated to be as mild as current delta infections, with only seasonal flu-like symptoms expected.
Dr. Scott Gottlieb (Dr. Scott Gottlieb) Former Commissioner of the US Food and Drug Administration Currently serves on the Board of Directors of drug manufacturers. Pfizer, Incand is a member of the Board of Directors of the Company Illumina, Inc. has commented that with a mathematical model which is calculated based on information from the hereditary code. whole virus genome Demographics epidemiological data Clinical data, etc., come together from many sectors, indicating that The fourth wave outbreak (in the US) caused byCovid-19 The delta species is the main culprit. It could be the last wave of the pandemic. (Pandemic) of COVID-19 If no new species are born Predicted that the virus is causing the disease COVID-19 will become endemic This means it exists forever, but it spreads at a low rate. and mild symptoms
for Thailand From the genetic decoding data of the whole genome of the germ SARS-CoV-2 by the Medical Genome Center Ramathibodi Hospital expected that no later than 6 months after this Coronavirus infection situation “Delta” will be better, with the number of infections, patients and deaths sequentially reduced. Observed from the epidemic of various species in our home since the beginning of 2020, each species will have an occurrence, persist and extinction in about 3-6 months, not longer than this.
The spread of COVID-19 in Thailand
- The first wave was a boxing stadium cluster. and entertainment venues be a species “A.6” Outbreak between Jan. 2020 – Jul. 2020
- second wave It is a cluster of Samut Sakhon factories. and Pathum Thani Market be a species “B.1.36.16” Outbreak during Oct. 2020-May 2021
- three waves It is a cluster of entertainment venues in Thonglor area. is an alpha species “B.1.1.7” Outbreak during Jan. 2021-Jul 2021
- four waves It’s a construction cluster camp. is a delta species “B.1.617.2” Outbreak during April 2021 – present
which is now clearly evident fourth wave “Delta” in Thailand is weakening due to natural viral infections Plus, the number of people who have been vaccinated is increasing. causing the rate of new infections and the death toll continued to decline.
from decoding the entire genome of Sars- CoV-2 In Thailand, there is a high probability that “Main delta species” will be replaced by sub-delta species “AY.30” Which is more common in Thailand and Cambodia, which is probably a weaker version of the Delta. Adjust the mode to enter the endemic epidemic. (Endemic)
subspecies delta AY.30 has been deciphered all over the world A total of 9,633 samples were found in Thailand, representing 33.3 percent, while the main delta species 66.7% of genetic variants detected in Thailand, beta 11.1 and alpha 5.6.
thank you : Center for Medical Genomics
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