‘Jatuphon’ emphasizes ‘going far’ to establish a struggle Not believing the people Rising in chaotic riots. It ends with the army seizing power.

“Jatuporn” reinforces the establishment of the government, 312 votes to end The reason why the parliamentarians did not support ‘going far’, while ‘Pitha’ is reserved property While Pheu Thai rushes to grab the President of the Council, looking for an opportunity to move the pole to the side of 188 votes, removing the Prime Minister’s ‘Form’ in exchange for 376 senators, believing that the people are rioting in the wild. Fear of ending up with the army seizing power

2 June 2023 – Mr. Jatuporn Phromphan, lecturer of the Faculty of Integration of the People Facebook Live in Thailand must come first, when it is “invasive.” At this time, the formation of a 312-vote government suggests that Mr. ITV’s share factor. Pitha gets worse. Lim Chareonrat Candidates for the Prime Minister, the Progressive Party and the race for the Speaker of the House and then mixed with important terms Senators do not support 312 votes

In addition, he also saw that it would increase the pressure on the Thai Pheu Party to separate the poles. Cross over to join hands to form a government with the 188-vote party, while the people’s rebellion is hard to avoid, so if the new government can’t manage the peace The chance of having military seizure power is in the head away very likely.

Mr Jatuporn assessed, in relation to the qualifications of Mr. Phitha, that Mr. Wissanu Krea-ngam, the Deputy Prime Minister for Legal Affairs, sent a pilot signal with a question about whether there were 3 issues in the application for ITV shares: the qualifications of MPs, the qualifications for being a minister And the approval of candidates for MPs, by identifying issues like this is equivalent to the media suggesting a petition to control Mr. Pitha. In which Mr Ruangkrai Leekitwattana, a candidate for the list of MPs of the Palang Prarat Party File the petition in its entirety as requested by Mr Wissanu.

However, in each of the 3 cases, Mr Wissanu sees that the election could be void or that a new election is needed for the whole country, but the problem is whether to re-elect only or re-elect in completely, so now it shows that many games will come out to control the government with 312 votes, even if the Constitutional Court ruled that Mr Phitha’s qualifications were not against the Constitution, but having to face a trap of 750 votes (500 MPs plus 250 senators) when voting in favor of the Prime Minister.

Jatuporn said that under this situation a political equation would arise, which is the first form, 312 votes from 8 parties to form a government. And the other party has 188 votes, without joining the far reaching party, so the 312 vote party has to rely on the senators born by General Prayut Chan-o-cha

“There is news like fragrant medicine that will lobby the sound The senators helped the party to move forward successfully. That’s a beautiful word. But the real success having to persuade Prayut General Approval, which would be difficult, therefore, finding another 64 votes is impossible. and this miracle does not exist.”

Jatuporn said that it was the urgency of the Pheu Thai Party, in the second form, to take the position of Speaker of the House in their hands. Because Mr Phitha’s qualifications will spread to the court, the Constitution ordered the suspension of MPs’ duties, so the prime minister’s candidate from the Thai Pheu Party will have the opportunity to vote in the parliamentary meeting. not only that, the Thai Pheu Party can use the surrounding situation to form a new government with 188 parties and draw parliamentarians to support it. The probability with the establishment of a government will have success. so there is a higher tendency

However, the conditions for breaking the siege of 312 votes were mainly because there was an obstacle for the 8 parties as the 8 parties united to form a government under 312 votes and have a prime minister candidate. from the Thai Pheu Party But there would also be a lack of support from parliamentarians. Then Pheu Thai crossed the pole to form a government with 188 votes, and that was the way to guarantee that the senators managed to get all 376 votes.

“If the Progressive Party also joins the government, then in the 188 votes it cannot add up. Since the Thai Pride Party and two uncles (Prawit-Prayut) do not take the party to move far. But if Pheu Thai crosses Huai to form a government with 188 votes, he may be confident that there is a guarantee from The senator came to vote in favor.”

Mr Jatuporn said that the Thai Pheu Party crossed the border to join hands with 188 votes to form the government. Although he may have avoided accusations of betraying his friends But he had to remove the Prime Minister’s position because he did not want the Prime Minister’s candidate Ung-Ing, Pae Thongtarn, Shinawatra or Mr. Srettha Thavisin faced the protests of the chaotic masses like a hot bonfire that engulfed the city.

“So General Prawit Wongsuwan (Palang Pracharat Party Prime Minister Candidate) has an opportunity to get support for the Prime Minister Let’s deal with the chaos that suggests it will happen violently. If you can’t handle it, there is General Prayut ready to come and make peace In the end if you still can’t handle it. Apparently the situation has dragged on to listen again. (a military strike) follows.”

Mr Jatuporn believes Prawit General will be the prime minister candidate. Let the parliament vote as the next prime minister, and also have to evaluate the results of consideration. Phitha MP also Will it spread to affect the 151 MPs from the Kao Far Party who have been elected illegally according to the Constitution or not, because it will indicate a new election in 112 areas or the whole country must follow each other with excitement?

Therefore, any Thai political table can happen. And public revolt is inevitable. But after the rebellion, a very sensitive situation will remain. by during the month In June this year certification will speed up. MPs quickly In accordance with the case of Mr. Phitha, who will go to the Constitutional Court with conditions for the opening of the council meeting What all these situations will lead to what must be thought seriously. And it’s definitely not a pretty world situation.

However, during this situation of almost two months, the certification of MPs must be completed before July 13, as well as believing that Various political repercussions will spread very quickly, therefore, when analyzing and evaluating the situation of people who are not they belong to or belong to a political party, the phenomenon will be seen everywhere according to the current facts of each party.

“I have to accept one fact that the Progressive Party is in a difficult position to be in government. and chance of survival Mr. Phitha The most difficult. but it will spread to Are all 151 elected MPs and non-elected MPs of the party going far? So we still have to fight. Because of Mr Phitha’s conditions It is a different case to Mr Juangrongrunkit Former leader of the Future Forward Party (dissolution of party) who was released as an MP for holding shares in the media So Phitha Mr you must be very concerned Not saying I’m not worry.”

Including saying that political boards are not complicated. Because they are all influenced by the 2017 constitutional rules, with players in this table having to fill all the holes. In addition, there is a lesson from the case of Mr. Thanathorn, so he has to be careful in holding media shares. Which is difficult to wriggle out of the law, so when walking wrongly and becoming an obvious political competitor inevitably manipulated by the game that went wrong to get out of the way

Mr Jatuporn mentions that Mr Phitha will meet and discuss that with government officials He should not act in haste before being certified as an MP or already in government because there is currently no legal status to be able to call civil servants to talking about information in the bureaucratic system except meeting with the private sector can be done on behalf of a political party


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