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Keep an eye on the new German government, “center left”, adjust or continue Merkel’s 16-year work

Keep an eye on the new German government Germany’s political parties agreed to form a “middle-left” coalition government on Nov 24, with German leader Angela Merkel, 67, said on Friday. resigned from his position as Prime Minister for 16 years

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The new government consists of The Social Democrats Party (SDP), the Greens and the Free Democratic Party (FDP), with SPD leader Olaf Scholz, 63, will become prime minister.

Keep an eye on the new German government

Formation of the new government team is completed between the three parties – the SPD, Greens and the FDP on November 24, 2021 at Westhafen center in Berlin, (Photo by Odd ANDERSEN / AFP)

Initially, the three parties agreed that the new government would not incur more new debt in response to the COVID-19 crisis. From the previous government that has already invested enough (about 100 billion euros, or 3.7 trillion for the budget next year, when the total of 3 years 1977-2022 is at 470 billion euros, or 17.5 trillion baht), so must step on the brakes on debt within the year. 2023 (2023)

Keep an eye on the new German government

Germany’s acting Chancellor Angela Merkel receives this year’s Christmas tree during a ceremony in the foyer of the Chancellery in Berlin, Germany, November 24, 2021. REUTERS/Christian Mang

It will also increase the minimum wage from 9.6 euros to 12 euros (460 baht) per hour, reduce the age of voters to start at 16, quit coal power by 2030, enhance strategic sovereignty. of Europe and legalizing the use of marijuana Advertising for abortion services must be illegal.

Merkel, the first prime minister to step down

For Ms Merkel, who has worked for 16 years through monsoons both inside and outside the country, whether the euro financial crisis, immigration problems, Brexit, Germany in the Merkel era has shown leadership. lead the European Union or the EU through the monsoon gracefully Until being regarded as a leader of the free world instead of the United States. in the era of Mr. Donald trump is the leader

Legendary shots of Merkel when hitting Trump at the G7 stage in June 2018

Former US President Barack Obama hailed Ms Merkel, a prominent world political leader. Some people appreciate meekness. Stick to a politically driven style with consensus principles.

But some consider it a lack of courageous leadership. especially in the face of increasingly aggressive Russia and China’s soaring.

Mr Putin welcomes Ms Merkel / Russian President Vladimir Putin receives German Chancellor Angela Merkel at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia August 20, 2021. Guido Bergmann/BPA/Handout via REUTERS.

Ms Merkel elected not to run in national elections on September 26, 2021 and was the first German chancellor to vote herself.

Thai scholars point out why a coalition government

Associate Professor Dr. Nattanan Kunmas, Director of the Center for European Studies and professor at the Faculty of Political Science Chulalongkorn University Said on foreign policy issues and commented on the establishment of a coalition of Germany.

Keep an eye on the new German government

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Nattanan Kunmas

“The establishment of a coalition of Germany tells us two things that are important to us. The first is that German politics is a politics that requires consensus from the beginning. Second, the consolidation of executive power in one political party. There will never be a trace of history during World War II. Confederate governance was also a multi-level sway of power that the Allies laid out after World War II. to prevent the return of the German leader to absolute power,” said Associate Professor Dr. Nattanan.

in the previous century It may be clear that the Christian Democrats (CDU), the Liberal Democratic Party (FDP), are not preventing the increase in the military budget. The Socialist Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) will oppose the Green Party even more. But into the present 21st century, this is not the case.

All four parties supported an increase in the military budget. Coupled with Merkel’s 16 years of existence, it became the norm. So what’s good in the Merkel era? Whichever party will lead a coalition government will continue.

The new government will not change its main policy.

All four parties share the same stance in support of the European Union and European integration. both innovation development policies Infrastructure at the union level The Green Reform Plan (EU Green Deal), economic development, advanced technology and sustainable productivity within the Union. But there may be different sub-issues.

Coalition government, from left: Christian Lindner, FDP leader Olaf Scholz, SPD leader Annalina Barbok and Greens’ Robert Habeck on Nov 24, 2021 ( Photo by Tobias Schwarz / AFP) / ALTERNATIVE CROP

If formulated by a SPD-led government, there is a chance to be more flexible on fiscal regulations and push for a limited reform of the eurozone’s macroeconomic regulation. This could include strengthening industry policies and the unemployment insurance system at the union level. So the stance is a Brexit change or Germany leaves the EU. It will not appear regardless of the formula.

President Joe Biden meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel in the Oval Office of the White House, Thursday, July 15, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

Associate Professor Dr. Nattanan said that on the transatlantic alliance and relations with the United States. Could Mr. Scholz’s favourite, hybrid government be challenging over whether to continue the nuclear-sharing system of the North Atlantic Defense Organization or NATO with the United States?

In this case (which is less likely) it would significantly affect the European Security Regulation and transatlantic relations. The role of the United States as a security guarantor and the role of nuclear deterrent in Europe will be reduced.

Post-Merkel Europe

come to Asia The new government would be a continuation of the Merkel era. on human rights and human security issues within China. and expanding Chinese influence in the world even more but will also try to avoid impact on trade

Germany and Europe may play a greater role in the rivalry between superpowers. and may come to carry out more activities in the Indo-Pacific

Ms Merkel when welcoming the Prime Minister The first Thai woman in Berlin, July 18, 2012. / German Chancellor Angela Merkel (L) and Thailand’s Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra inspect the guard of honor during a welcome ceremony in Berlin, July 18, 2012. REUTERS/Tobias Schwarz

The SPD-led government is more likely to compromise and try to restore ties with Russia. Both governments will continue to support the use of sanctions and may suspend the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline from Russia to Germany. temporarily or permanently

Legendary shots of Merkel when hitting Trump at the G7 stage in June 2018

According to a CNN analysis of the US media, Merkel is a pragmatic leader and a symbol of EU stability. And it is unclear if the next prime minister will play a leading role. Or can it be replaced like Mrs. Merkel? It was another major foreign policy challenge for Germany’s new government.

Every year, Merkel sends her New Year’s greetings as head of government, but 2022 will be gone. (Hannibal Hanschke/Pool Photo via AP)

Pepine Bergsen, a researcher at the Chatham House Brainstorm Institute in London, estimates that French President Emmanuel Macron will try to contend Ms Merkel’s European title. signaling a possible shift in the balance of power to France instead of Germany Because the new government of Germany will be a coalition government. May be busy dealing with internal problems As a result, coalition governments face more difficult challenges in taking a leading role in the international arena.

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