On the 13th, it will lead to future middle-distance GI at Hanshin RacecourseKyoto Memorial(GII, turf 2200m) will be held.
Due to the large-scale renovation work of the Kyoto Racecourse, Hanshin Shiba 2200m was set as the stage this year as well as last year. Therefore, after aggregating the past data of the Hanshin Shiba 2200m Group Race (since 2000), we will look at the jockey data that interests us in the Hanshin Shiba 2200m Group Race. The races to be counted are Takarazuka Kinen (held by Hanshin), Queen Elizabeth Cup after 2020, and last year’s Kyoto Kinen.
In addition, Hironobu Tanabe Jockey & Illusion Panther, who introduced at the Tokyo Shimbun Hai last week that “it is not necessary to discount as long as it corresponds to a hot combination”, is the first place. A jockey who should be noted in the data played an active part in the first heavy prize in February.
◆[Kyoto Kinen 2022 Forecast / Overtake Diagnosis]Highest rating for leading horses with “strengthening constitution” “S” Excellent positiveness and “difference in cloud mud” from previous run
■ Trust Kenichi Ikezoe on this stage
Among the jockeys riding this year’s Kyoto Kinen, 10 jockeys have experience in the Hanshin Shiba 2200m Group Race in the past. The jockey data for each jockey is as follows.
[Since 2000]Hanshin Shiba 2200m Group Races by Jockey
It may overlap with what I said when I introduced the Takarazuka Kinen jockey data, but it is amazing strength in the Spring / Autumn Grand Prix race.Kenichi IkezoeI’m a jockey.
Both Arima Kinen and Takarazuka Kinen performed well, and at the Hanshin Shiba 2200m Group Race, the balance between finish order and popularity is excellent, and the concordance rate is also excellent at 26.7% considering popularity. Sweep Tosho (11 popular 1st place) at Takarazuka Kinen in 2005, Curren Mirotic (9 popular 2nd place) at Takarazuka Kinen in 2014, Shonan Pandora (11 popular 3rd place) at Takarazuka Kinen in 2015, I like Anoma It is often run, and it is a jockey that should be bought regardless of whether it is a popular horse or not.
In addition, the combination of[Kenichi Ikezoe Jockey]x[4-year-old horse]has increased to 33.3% in a row and 66.7% in double wins in the past[2-0-2-2].The jockey is 7 popular as of 15:00 the day before at this year’s Kyoto MemorialLagomScheduled to ride on (4, Ritto, Takashi Saito stables). Since it is a combination that corresponds to hot data, there is no loss in holding it down. It will be interesting to see if he will show us a horse race that seems to be this time as a child of the Hanshin Shiba 2200m grade race.
◆[Kyoto Kinen 2022 Forecast / Anoma Analyze vol.3]Assumed “30 times” ambush soldiers “If you join this member, there will be one shot”
■ Ryuji Wada Jockey is also excellent
also,Ryuji WadaJockeys also have an excellent balance between order of arrival and popularity, and considering the overall quality of horse riding, they have recorded a good quorum (25.0%).
Numerically, the influence of TM Opera O (1st Takarazuka Kinen in 2000, 2nd Takarazuka Kinen in 2001) is large, but Mikki Rocket (7 popular 1st) in 2018 Takarazuka Kinen and Stay in 2021 Kyoto Kinen. It can be emphasized that the results have been achieved in recent years with the horses other than Foolish (3 popular 2nd place) and the most popular horse.
And it is 12 popular as of 15:00 the day before that the jockey plans to ride at this year’s Kyoto MemorialDanone Majesty(7, Ritto, Hidetaka Otonashi stables). It’s not popular at all, but it’s a combination of Ryuji Wada and Hidetaka Otonashi, the same as Mikki Rocket, so it might be better to hold it down just in case.
◆[Kyoto Kinen 2022 Forecast / Anoma Analyze vol.1]Blind spots around the assumed “7 popularity” “There is a reproduction of a fierce run from the contents of the previous run”
■ Yuichi Fukunaga Jockey depends on popularity
On the other hand, horse racing that lacks one punch continues on this stage.Yuichi FukunagaI’m a jockey. There are few chances to ride a popular horse, but compared to the popularity, the order of arrival is lower and it often ends up on the bulletin board. In addition, since it is[0-1-0-1]within the 3rd popularity, it may depend on the popularity of horse riding on the day.
The jockey is 2 popular at 15:00 at this year’s Kyoto MemorialGeraldinaScheduled to ride on (Mare 4, Ritto / Takashi Saito stables). If it continues to be popular until the day, it seems to be reliable.
As mentioned above, this time we have introduced the data of 3 jockeys riding in the Kyoto Kinen based on the past data of the Hanshin Shiba 2200m Group Race. I would like to take up Kenichi Ikezoe, who is prominent in the Hanshin Shiba 2200m Group Races as a data-focused jockey.
▼ Other data forecasts
◆[Data capture-Part 1]A tailwind for Gorushi’s daughter, who is also popular among “Uma Musume”.
◆[Data Strategy-Part 2]Assumed to emerge under the conditions of specialty “10 popular” Anoma around “10 popularity” Rewind with the tailwind of “Betlet ticket rate 75%”
Kyoto Kinen 2022 Forecast Column List
▼ Overtake diagnosis
◆[S evaluation]Highest evaluation for leading horses with “strengthening constitution” “S” Excellent positiveness and “difference in cloud mud” from previous run
◆[A rating]Highly rated as the “old man” with the highest track record.
◆[A rating]The “A” rating, which exceeds the popularity of horses, is estimated to be around 40 times higher.
◆[B rating]Low rating for the popular Red Genesis “There is an invisible stopper” without feeling
▼ Anoma forecast
◆[Anoma Analyze Vol.1]Blind spots around the assumed “7 popularity” “There is a reproduction of a fierce run from the contents of the previous run”
◆[Anoma Analyze Vol.2]Winning “Lower Popular” thugs “I can’t underestimate the current fulfillment”
◆[Anoma Analyze Vol.3]Assumed “30 times” ambush “If you join this member, there will be one shot”
◆[Dangerous popular horse-Part 1]The popular good-blooded horse is “erased”.
◆[Dangerous popular horse-Part 2]Aiming for a “good fight man” who has the highest “achievement” of the members “It is okay to recapture V after a long time”
▼ Other data trends for the past 10 years
◆[Frame order]Makahiki and other ambush horses are in 8 slots boasting “7 wins at most” Last year’s Oaks horses were in 5 slots of “Kimon”
◆[Leg quality tendency]Danger signal to popular Uberleben Two “anxiety factors” that are concerned about holding Hanshin
◆[Previous Rote]A tailwind for popular horses that are expected to rewind.
◆[Popularity Trend]1 Even if the popularity is winning for 2 consecutive years, the most wins are the ambush soldiers with a win recovery rate of “612%”.
Author profile
Daisuke Ito ● “UMAJIN.net” editorial department
Born in Akita prefecture. After working for a sports-related book publisher and a horse racing specialty newspaper, he is currently in charge of writing and horse racing data analysis at UMAJIN .net. In “SPREAD”, we will take up notable horses and jockeys from “horse body analysis” with strong subjective elements and “jockey data” which is the accumulation of objective data.
