Lee Jae-myung shouted for 100 days of public welfare… Shin Hyun-bo’s deep data

野 the approval rate fell and the number of non-party members increased
High/high/high/low standard of living
A cargo union strike pulls public sentiment towards shipping and boats

Photo = News 1

On the 5th, with Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung (pictured) celebrating his 100th day in office, the approval rating of the Democratic Party, which had surpassed the strength of the people before taking office, shows trend of recent reversal.

In particular, the drop in approval ratings for the higher and lower living standards is evident. Although CEO Lee has emphasized ‘people’s livelihood’, analysis that the judicial risk around him has increased, and that the common people and the rich are turning their backs on the Democratic Party’s keynote supports the strike recently by the cargo union.

After 100 days of Lee Jae-myeong’s inauguration, the approval ratings pulled back on the highest and lowest levels of living standards.

According to Gallup Korea on the 5th, when comparing the approval ratings of the parties in the 4th week of August, before Lee took office, and the 1st week of December at the latest, the power of the people did not change, and the Democratic Party show a decrease of 3 percentage points. The non-partisan class appears to have absorbed the scattered approval rating from the Democratic Party by 3 percentage points during this period.

Party approval rating after taking office as Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung.  /Graph = Shin Hyun-bo, Hankyung.com reporter

Party approval rating after taking office as Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung. /Graph = Shin Hyun-bo, Hankyung.com reporter
The rate of change in the party's approval rating for the first week of December compared to the fourth week of August.  /Table = Reporter Shin Hyun-bo, Hankyung.com

The rate of change in the party’s approval rating for the first week of December compared to the fourth week of August. /Table = Reporter Shin Hyun-bo, Hankyung.com

According to standard of living, the drop in the approval rating of the Democratic Party from ‘high’, ‘medium high’ and ‘low’ stands out. Gallup Korea divides respondents’ standard of living into five levels: ‘high, medium, high, medium, low, low,’ and conducts a poll. For sample reasons when weekly polls are published, awards and prizes are aggregated. Living standards data are aggregated based on the subjective opinion of the respondents, so they do not appear in specific figures such as income or assets.

After Lee’s leadership, the Democratic Party’s approval rating fell the most in the ‘high/medium-high’ standard of living (down 10 percentage points), followed by ‘low’ (down 9 percentage points). ‘Medium and low’ decreased by 3 percentage points, and ‘medium’ increased by only 1 percentage point. It is in stark contrast to the fact that the approval rating of the people’s strength has risen by 4 percentage points in the ‘high and middle’ during this period, and has only fallen by 3 percentage points in the ‘low-middle’, 2 percentage points in ‘middle’, and 1 percentage point in ‘lower’.

Over the past 100 days, approval ratings for men and women have fallen by 3 percentage points each, and young people in their 20s (down 9 percentage points) and 30s (down 7 percentage points) as well as those in their 40s ( down 9 percentage points), who have been regarded as the core supporters The drop in the floor support rate was large. On the other hand, the power of the people rose from the 30s to the 50s.

According to political orientation, not only conservatives (a decrease of 5 percentage points) and moderates (a decrease of 4 percentage points), but also liberals showed the biggest decline, with a decrease of 7 percentage points. Among them, it is evaluated that the departure of the core supporters is also evident as the approval rating falls among those in their 40s and the progressive class.

A report card that doesn’t live up to the ‘people’s livelihood first’… No press conference on the 100th

After his inauguration, Representative Lee planted the banner of ‘a competent alternative opposition’ and established the People’s Livelihood Economic Crisis Countermeasures Committee in the party, emphasizing the keynote ‘people’s livelihood first’ throughout. However, public sentiment appears to be turning its back on the Democratic Party, and Lee’s progress in public life is assessed to have faded.

On this day, CEO Lee raised his voice at the Supreme Council meeting held at the National Assembly in the morning, saying, “The public economy is in crisis now more than ever.” Representative Lee strongly criticized Yoon Seok-yeol’s government, saying, “This regime has ruined the public economy, threatened public safety, democratized democracy, and brought a peace crisis on the Korean Peninsula through incompetence, irresponsibility, and inaction.” “(For 100 days after the inauguration of the new leadership), I am proud that I have been striving to put the people first and livelihood first,” he said. A separate press conference was not held on the 100th day of the inauguration.

Regarding this, Representative Kim Ki-hyun, leader of the people’s power party, said on Facebook that day, “CEO Lee can’t even hold a press conference on the 100th day of inauguration to avoid accusations criminal.” , there was only Lee Saeng, there was no Democratic Party, there was only Lee Joo Party.”

Public sentiment on cargo union strike, targeting shipping

In particular, the outcome of the recent cargo union strike has been affecting the political approval rating. Both the government and the ruling party stand by the conflict, saying it was a “political strike that took the economy and people’s livelihood hostage,” while the opposition Democratic Party criticized the government’s tough response. as “seeking public power.”

Public sentiment is in an atmosphere of taking the side of the government and the ruling party. In a survey by Gallup Korea, the positive rating for President Yoon’s performance of state affairs rose for the second week in a row. The ruling party defeated the Democratic Party in six weeks.

A similar airflow was captured in the Realmeter survey results published on the same day. In this survey, President Yoon’s approval rating rose for the second week, recording 38.9% and negative ratings at 58.9%. In the survey, only about 5 months ago the positive evaluation was close to 40% and the negative evaluation fell to the 50% range. The party’s approval rating was also similar to the previous week, but the strength of the people rose for the second week.

Bae Chul-ho, a senior expert on Realmeter, said, “The principled response to the struggles of the trade union such as the cargo union, eliminating unnecessary controversy due to preventing door stepping, and the controversy over reporting on ‘The Exploration’. following ‘Kim & Chang’ (Democratic Party lawmakers Kim Eui-gyeom and Jang Gyeong-tae) are factors that progress can be counted as,” he analyzed. At the same time, he explained, “In the midst of the economic crisis, there seems to be a principled response President Yoon, as the ‘startup order’, has worked as a momentum for a positive evaluation.”

Hankyung.com reporter Shin Hyun-bo [email protected]

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