Original title: Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs: The recovery of wheat prices is much lower than that of the international market
Cover reporter Su Yu
On July 20, the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the operation of the agricultural and rural economy in the first half of the year. Liu Han, head of the Department of Marketing and Informatization of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, introduced at the meeting that the price of wheat has rebounded due to rising production costs and the impact of transmission from the international market, but the increase is far lower than that of the international market. In June, ordinary wheat in the Zhengzhou grain wholesale market was 1.54 yuan per catty, an increase of 8.5% over January and a year-on-year increase of 22%.
Liu Han, head of the Marketing and Information Technology Department of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs.Image source: Guoxin.com
Liu Han introduced that from the perspective of monitoring and scheduling, in the first half of the year, my country’s key varieties of “rice bags” and “vegetable baskets” were in sufficient supply, and the overall price fluctuations were not large, which provided important support for coping with the impact of the new crown pneumonia epidemic and maintaining basic price stability. . From January to June, the “200 Index of Wholesale Prices of Agricultural Products” was 127.96, a year-on-year increase of 2.49 points. According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, food prices in the first half of this year fell by 0.4% year-on-year, affecting the CPI drop by about 0.08 percentage points.
She said that the prices of the three major staple grains rose steadily. In June, the average monthly price of rice, wheat and corn in the three grain bazaars was 135 yuan per 100 catties, an increase of 4.6% over January and a year-on-year increase of 4.5%. Among them, the prices of rice and corn were basically stable. The price trend of soybean and edible vegetable oil is relatively strong. Affected by factors such as tight international soybean supply, blocked sunflower oil exports from Ukraine, and speculation by speculative capital, the international oil and oil prices have risen at a high level this year, which has also driven domestic prices to strengthen.
In June, the after-tax price of imported soybeans in Shandong was 2.75 yuan per kilogram, a year-on-year increase of 14.7%, and the ex-factory prices of soybean oil and rapeseed oil rose by more than 30% year-on-year. However, due to my country’s sufficient oil reserves and strong control capabilities, coupled with the increase in rapeseed production, the domestic edible vegetable oil market is guaranteed to supply, and the price increase is lower than the international market.
Liu Han said that pork prices bottomed out and the “vegetable basket” products fluctuated seasonally. Since the end of March, pork prices have continued to rise. In June, the monthly average wholesale price of pork was 21.57 yuan per kilogram, a month-on-month increase of 4.3% and a year-on-year decrease of 8.2%. Vegetables, fruits, eggs and other key varieties are in sufficient supply. Due to rising costs and the impact of continuous high temperature weather, the current price level is higher than the same period last year, but the fluctuations are basically in line with perennial laws.
From the production point of view, the summer grain has been harvested again, the area of autumn grain has been growing steadily and growing well, the soybean oil plant expansion task has been implemented, the number of reproductive sows is in a reasonable range, the production capacity of meat, eggs and milk is stable, and the field area and output of vegetables have both The increase, the foundation of stable production and supply is solid. From the perspective of inventory, the total social inventory of rice and wheat is at a historically high level, which can meet the demand for food ration consumption for more than one year, and the corn inventory has also increased.
“From the perspective of imports, the total imported grain from January to June was 79.78 million tons, a slight decrease from the same period last year. With the decline in international grain prices, it is expected that grain imports will increase steadily. From the perspective of consumption, edible vegetable oil, sugar, animal products, water The consumption of important agricultural products such as products will recover to some extent, but it will remain stable on the whole, and the price will be limited.” Liu Han said.Return to Sohu, see more
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