Opinion. T If Trump Country Soars, Will the President Do a Second Term?

In the Midwest, the political importance of the counties that vote in the Trump cannot be considered. He won Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan of 77,744 votes from more than 13 million votes cast in those states.

While Trump claimed, and will continue to demand, credit for improvement, Muro argued in email that progress in 2017-2018 seems to reflect the effects of the industry, rather than policy,. "taking some part at the tax package could have a temporary effect."

In an earlier Brookings report – “In 2017, Rural Places got bigger, but Will it last?” – published in March last year, Muro and Jacob Whiton, senior research assistant, found out that the economy in the nation's rural areas was successful in 2017.

These communities showed,

at home to 12.4 per cent of US jobs – it had a good year in 2017. Rural areas were actually better than their share of the economy to generate about 16.6 per cent of the country's jobs growth.

“Briefly,” wrote Muro and Whiton,

At least one central American of a small Trump finally won during his first year in office.

The authors warned that rural growth would be very difficult to sustain:

Many of the industries that put jobs in rural communities in 2017 – such as logging, mining, oil and gas, and construction – are still cyclical due to economic and commodity trends more than one Trump-era deregulation pressure or tax cutting.

In addition, Muro and Whiton,

the types of physical jobs or rota that are widespread in rural America are still at risk of automation and globalization in a digital age that seems to favor the most and most concentrated cities with high levels of education and powerful “agglomeration” economies. ”

Their first areas were in rural areas during the first 26 months of the administration of the Trump.

Alex Brill, a resident of the American Enterprise Institute, tracked state-of-state employment patterns in a paper, “What is the State of Unemployment Rate Data Breaking Records?” He decided there are 10 states – to many with large rural populations – records broke in 2019 through their lowest unemployment rates in striking history: Alabama, Iowa, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vermont and Wisconsin. Nine out of ten of these states voted on Trump.

Brill found that there were 11 additional states within a quarter of a percentage point of lows broken down. If you take these 21 states together, 14 vote on Trump.

In each of these states – and in almost all states Trump was carrying – the white men were a vital constituency who did not graduate in college (a polling transcript for the white working class) driving Trump highlights.

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