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Possible Vote on Arrest Proposal for Democratic Party Leader Lee Jae-myung Raises Concerns of Backlash and Leadership Vacuum

Vote on Arrest Proposal Expected at the National Assembly Meeting

The full meeting of the National Assembly is set to vote on the arrest proposal as early as the 21st. The rejection of the proposal by the pro-Myeong faction has triggered a change in the political atmosphere. If the arrest proposal is rejected, it will only amplify the Democratic Party’s reputation for being ‘bulletproof’. Conversely, if the proposal is passed, it could lead to a backlash and a potential leadership vacuum. Consequently, the Democratic Party is deeply concerned about the repercussions of arresting Lee Jae-myung, fearing possible backlash and uncertainties in calculating various scenarios.

Lee Jae-myeong’s Health Deteriorates, Fuels Political Concerns

Lee Jae-myeong, the leader of the Democratic Party of Korea, was transferred to Green Hospital after receiving emergency treatment at St. Mary’s Hospital in Yeouido on the 18th. Despite his deteriorating health while fasting, he expressed his determination to continue the so-called ‘injection fasting’ and requested a second arrest warrant from the prosecution. This development has raised political concerns, especially regarding possible divisions in the Democratic Party and the People’s Power Party’s efforts to counter the ‘Lee Jae-myung sympathy theory’.

Chief Spokesman Kwon Chil-seung criticized the prosecution’s sudden request for an arrest warrant, accusing them of attempting to divert attention from Lee’s hospital transfer. The Democratic Party is witnessing the rise of a hardline trend, with some members praising Lee’s commitment while mocking President Yoon Seok-yeol and the ruling party for their handling of the situation.

On the 21st, there is a possibility that the Democratic Party’s motion to dismiss Prime Minister Han Deok-soo and the motion to arrest Representative Lee will both be processed. The Democratic Party, which holds the majority of seats, plans to report and vote on the motion to dismiss Prime Minister Han at the plenary meeting. However, given President Yoon’s rejection of previous dismissal proposals, a fierce battle between opposing parties is expected.

Complex Intentions Surrounding the ‘Arrest Proposal Situation’

Regarding the ‘arrest proposal situation,’ both the ruling and opposition parties have intricate motives. Although Representative Lee declared his willingness to waive his arrest privilege last June, the pro-Myung faction within the Democratic Party, backed by the government and ruling party’s apparent disregard for Lee’s fast, remains undecided. Supporters of Rep. Lee, known as the “dog girls,” have been urging Democratic Party lawmakers via text messages to reject the arrest proposal. Rep. Kim Byeong-gi and others have also publicly expressed their intention to reject it.

When asked about the possibility of approving or rejecting the proposal based on party lines, Chief Speaker Kwon responded cautiously, suggesting that consensus among legislators is still being sought. However, he highlighted the content of the arrest warrant request, implying the possibility of adopting rejection as the party’s stance. He emphasized the potential unfairness in the request, leaving room for a new ruling to emerge.

Potential Fallout and Leadership Vacuum

The non-Lee Jae-myong group argues that the ‘bulletproof party frame’ can only be dismantled through a vote on the arrest proposal. However, regardless of its outcome, internal strife within the Democratic Party is expected to intensify. If the proposal is rejected, the party could face accusations of being a “bulletproof National Assembly.” On the other hand, if passed, collective backlash from party members, including the “dogs,” becomes inevitable. Furthermore, if Rep. Lee is arrested, a leadership vacuum may arise.

Meanwhile, the People’s Power Party is engrossed in strategizing various scenarios revolving around Representative Lee’s potential arrest. The party fears that the Democratic Party could exploit the situation for political gains, such as electing a new leader or forming an emergency response committee. They also worry that resolving the ‘judicial risk Lee Jae-myong’ could help the Democratic Party rally its supporters and absorb moderates. Furthermore, should the court reject the warrant after its approval, the risk associated with Rep. Lee may disappear, resulting in potential backlash directed towards the government, ruling party, and prosecutors.

Yoon Jae-ok, the floor leader of the People’s Power Party, accuses the Democratic Party of diverting internal conflicts towards the government and external enemies. He advises the Democratic Party to proudly make a decision and accept public evaluations rather than pointing fingers at others.

Reporters: Ha Jong-hoon, Myung Hee-jin, and Kim Ga-hyeon

A vote is likely at the full meeting of the National Assembly as early as the 21st.
The mood changed due to the rejection of the arrest proposal mainly by the pro-Myeong faction.
If it is rejected, the stigma of being ‘bulletproof’ by the Democratic Party intensifies.
If passed, there is the possibility of a backlash and a leadership vacuum.
The Democratic Party is concerned about the repercussions of the Democratic Party if Lee Jae-myung were to be arrested.
‘When warranty is disregarded’, we worry about how to calculate every situation, including backlash.

▲ Representative Lee Jae-myeong is transferred
Lee Jae-myeong, leader of the Democratic Party of Korea, who received emergency treatment at St. Mary’s Hospital in Yeouido on the 18th due to worsening health while fasting, gets on an ambulance to be taken to Green Hospital. Yonhap News Lee Jae-myeong, the leader of the Democratic Party of Korea, expressed his intention to continue the so-called ‘injection fasting’ despite being transferred to the hospital on the 18th, the 19th day of fasting, and asked the prosecution. second arrest warrant for leader Lee after last February, raising political concerns. The Democratic Party is concerned about a split over the vote on the arrest motion, and it is said that the People’s Power Party is considering ways to block the so-called ‘Lee Jae-myung sympathy theory’.

Chief Spokesman Kwon Chil-seung criticized the prosecution’s request for an arrest warrant on this day, saying, “As soon as the news of CEO Lee’s transfer to the hospital surfaced, they announced a sudden application for an arrest warrant, but it was an attempt to cover up the news of the transfer to the hospital with a warrant application.” In the Democratic Party, the hard line trend is growing stronger, saying, although that Representative Lee fasted for 19 days, that he ignored President Yoon Seok-yeol and mocked the ruling party, confirming his ‘sincerity’.

In particular, there is a possibility that on the 21st, the Democratic Party’s motion to dismiss Prime Minister Han Deok-soo and the motion to arrest Representative Lee will be processed at the same time. The Democratic Party, which holds the majority of seats (168 seats), intends to report on the motion to dismiss Prime Minister Han presented today at the plenary meeting on the 20th and vote on it at the plenary meeting on the 21st. However, a sharp fight between the opposition parties is expected, given that President Yoon has rejected all proposals for the dismissal of Foreign Affairs Minister Park Jin and Public Administration and Security Minister Lee Sang-min, who The Democratic Party has since been processed. the inauguration of Yoon Seok-yeol’s government.

The ruling and the opposition parties have complex intentions regarding the ‘arrest proposal situation’. Representative Lee declared that he would ‘waive the privilege of not being arrested’ last June, but in the Democratic Party, the ‘no conclusion’ of the pro-Myung faction (pro-Lee Jae-myung) is gaining strength based on the government. and the ruling party disregarding Representative Lee’s fast. Rep. Lee’s staunch supporters, the so-called “dog girls,” sent text messages to Democratic Party lawmakers demanding their rejection, and Rep. Kim Byeong-gi and others announced their intention to reject the offer.

Chief Speaker Kwon responded to the question, ‘Are you leaving open the possibility of approval or rejection based on party lines?’ “It is difficult to say in detail, and it is a process of gathering the consensus of legislators,” he said, but added, “Isn’t there a judgment that it is an unfair request based on the content of the request for the prosecution’s warrant?” He did not rule out the possibility of adopting a rejection as the party line, saying, “There may be a new ruling accordingly.”

However, the Non-Lee Jae-myeong group claims that the ‘bulletproof party frame’ can only be broken if the arrest motion is voted on, but regardless of the outcome of the arrest motion, internal strife is expected to within the party intensified. If rejected, the Democratic Party may receive the stigma of being a “bulletproof National Assembly,” and if passed, a collective backlash from party members, including “dogs,” is inevitable . If Rep. Lee is arrested, there could be a leadership vacuum.

While the People’s Power Party demands the arrest of Representative Lee, it is engrossed in ‘finding a way to calculate’ various scenarios. Whether the arrest motion is passed and the Democratic Party elects a new leader or an emergency response committee is formed to replace new leadership, there are concerns that the Democratic Party could seize the opportunity to rebound because the arrest of Representative Lee. There are concerns that as the Democratic Party’s ‘judicial risk Lee Jae-myeong’ is resolved, he will be able to enjoy the effect of not only rallying supporters but also absorbing moderates. There are concerns that if the warrant is rejected by the court after being approved, the risk of Rep. Lee will disappear and the backlash could be directed at the government, the ruling party, and prosecutors.

Yoon Jae-ok, floor leader of the People’s Power Party, said, “Since the Democratic Party could not decide whether to pass or reject the arrest motion, they pointed their guns at the government to divert the energy of the internal conflict involved with her to explode against external enemies.” “If you think it’s right, you should proudly decide to reject it as your party and accept the public’s evaluation,” he criticized.

Reporters Ha Jong-hoon, Myung Hee-jin, and Kim Ga-hyeon

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