Russo-Ukraine, ‘Donbass stronghold’ Bahmut battle… The Great Spring Offensive War Cloud

Russia seizes Soledar, intensive attack on eastern supply route ‘Blahodatne’

Ukraine is asking the West for long-range missiles “quickly” with tank support

“Russia recruits regular army to replace Wagner’s mercenaries… attack capability doubted”

A Ukrainian tank fires in the strategic town of Bakhmut in eastern Ukraine.

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(Seoul = Yonhap News) Reporter Kim Dong-ho = The New York Times (NYT) from the United States reported on the 29th that Russia is launching an attack around Bahmut, a key base for the occupation of Donbass (Donetsk and Luhansk) in eastern Ukraine, and fierce battles are unfolding. reported on the day (local time).

While the stalemate on the front line continued for some time during the winter, Russia, which has been gradually increasing its troops, and Ukraine, which has received support from the West with advanced weapons such as tanks, reorganizing their battle lines and trying to break new ground. .

As more weight is given to the prospect that both sides will launch a massive offensive in the spring, analysts say the battle at Bahmut, the battlefield, could be a turning point in the future war.

According to the NYT, the Russian army has recently been focusing its offensive on the village of Blahodatne in Donetsk. It is a strategic point between the salt mining town of Soledar, occupied by the Russians a short time ago after weeks of fierce fighting, and the road that leads to Bahmut, a battlefield in the north.

This road is the main supply route for the Ukrainian forces defending Bahmut.

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine said they had repelled a Russian attack in the village of Blahodatne, near Bakhmut.

The previous day, Yevgeny Prigozhin, ‘Putin’s chef’, operator of the Wagner Group, a private Russian mercenary group, claimed that “Blahodatne is under our control” within a day. head-on rebuttalThat’s it.

A Ukrainian soldier rests against an armored personnel carrier.
A Ukrainian soldier rests against an armored personnel carrier.

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Since last summer, Russia has been focusing its attacks with the aim of capturing Bahmut, the core of the eastern battlefield, but the desperate defense of Ukraine delayed its development, resulting in numerous casualties on both sides.

Then, starting with the occupation of Soledar earlier this month, Russia began invading nearby villages, including Blahodatne. intensify bombardmentIt’s a sight.

Ukrainian governor Pablo Kirilenko said from Donetsk that five civilians had been killed in the area the previous day. Dozens of civilians have been killed in Donetsk alone over the past few weeks, and Ukrainian authorities have ordered residents to evacuate.

The NYT predicted, “At this time when the Russian invasion of Ukraine is almost a year old, the Ukraine, which has received heavy weapons from the West, and Russia, which has reinforced its troops by large-scale coercion since the last year. , launching a new offensive soon.”

First of all, Ukraine is expected to significantly strengthen its military power as the United States and European countries recently announced their plans to provide main battle tanks. Britain’s Ministry of Defense said on the same day that Ukrainian soldiers had arrived in the UK to undergo training on the homegrown Challenger 2.

However, there are comments that it could take several months or more before Western tanks are actually deployed on the Ukrainian front, and Ukraine continues to urge more rapid delivery of military aid.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said yesterday that Ukraine needs long-range missiles to eliminate the possibility that Russian forces will destroy Ukrainian cities with missile launchers located far and deep in the front line. ATACMS missiles were mentioned).

Soledar in ruins
Soledar in ruins

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In fact, since the Russian army recaptured Kherson, a strategic point in southern Ukraine, in November last year, it has been shelling the area almost every day.

President Zelensky said on the day that “Russian forces have brutally shelled Kherson throughout the day,” and that various infrastructure including residential buildings, hospitals, post offices, and bus stops have been destroyed, while three people have killed and six others injured.

The Russian army has recently mobilized tens of thousands of recruits to occupy Donbass, but the NYT analyzed that there is no noticeable progress.

Ukrainian military officials said, “Russian forces had to pay the price with several casualties, including mercenary Wagner, as they advanced from Donbass.”

In particular, experts point out that the position of the Wagner Group in the Russian army, which led the offensive in the region, could be shaken as it has not been able to get Bahmut despite months of fighting.

Ukrainian President Zelensky
Ukrainian President Zelensky

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The US think tank War Institute (ISW) predicted in a report on the 28th that Russia could replace Wagner’s exhausted troops with regular troops to carry out the Bahmut offensive.

However, he added that the Russian army may not suffer massive losses against the regular army like Wagner’s mercenaries, adding, “It is doubtful whether it can afford to launch a large offensive quickly in several axes this winter and spring. “

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2023/01/30 10:28 Send

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