‘Shock loss’ Tottenham’s Champions League probability 64%… Manchester United ‘4%’ humiliated for moving to fifth place

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[골닷컴] Reporter Kang Dong-hoon = Tottenham Hotspur, who have been on the brink of collapse in recent years, suffered an unexpected defeat, but still had the greatest chance of occupying the fourth place. On the other hand, Arsenal and Manchester United have lower odds than Tottenham.

Tottenham Hotspur lost 1-0 at home to Brighton & Hove Albion in the 33rd round of the Premier League season in 2021-22 held at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England on the 16th (Korean time). Tottenham Hotspur failed to score points amid sluggish attacks, such as failing to record a single shot on target.

With this loss, Tottenham’s winning streak stopped at four games. The ranking remained in fourth place (18 wins, 3 draws, 11 losses, 57 points). However, he missed the opportunity to widen the gap with rival teams, and came down from an advantageous position to maintain an unstable fourth place.

In the match that followed, United won 3-2 against Norwich City with a hat-trick by Cristiano Ronaldo (37). At the same time, United succeeded in escaping from the swamp of two matches without a win. The ranking jumped two steps to 5th place (15 wins, 9 draws, 8 losses, 54 points).

Arsenal played at the same time. Arsenal needed a win, and maintained a whopping 76% of the market share and hit 23 shots, of which 6 on-target shots, and continued a wave of offensive. However, they showed a lack of decisive power and fell to their knees 0-1 to Southampton. With that loss, Arsenal fell to 6th place (17 wins, 3 draws, 11 losses, 54 points).

In the midst of this, according to the probability of Premier League teams advancing to the UEFA Champions League, published by the American statistical media ‘Five Thirteen’, Tottenham recorded 64%. Compared to the advance probability (65%) announced on the 10th, it fell only 1%. Even if they lost this round, it was predicted that they would still have an advantage.

Arsenal fell 1% to 32%. Since they have yet to play one more game than Tottenham and Manchester United, they can catch up if they add three points, but the media did not see the possibility as high.

The victorious Manchester United moved up, but were still stuck in the single digits, up only 2%. Manchester United, who experienced 2% humiliation in the previous round, became 4%. It is safe to say that it is still difficult to qualify for the UEFA Champions League next season.

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