[Takarazuka Kinen / Data Strategy-Part 1]The title holder and Efforia are bright and dark, and the winning percentages of “zero” and “60%” are | SPREAD

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2022.06.24

Keiichi Obata

GI at Hanshin Racecourse this weekTakarazuka Kinen(Turf 2200m) will be held.

It’s a race where gorgeous members gather almost every year, but this year’s representative horseEfforiavs Emperor’s Award, Spring Overwhelming WinTitle holderAttention is focused on the confrontation.Besides, female horse triple crown horseDaring TactOsaka Hai winnerPotagerThe ambush soldiers are also popular horse eaters.

◆[Takarazuka Kinen 2022 Forecast / Data Strategy-Part 2]Achievement horses that destroy the strongest two strongholds, betting ticket rate “100%” is a strong tailwind

Based on the keywords that emerged from the data analysis of the past 10 years, we will unravel the leading horses and hole horse candidates.

■ “Horse number one digit number” to support the title holder

The previous run Emperor’s Award, Spring is a masterpiece of escape victory.It was one of the strongest stayers in both name and reality.Title holderis. This time, the distance shortened Rote from 3200 to 2200m. There are some doubts about the condition of losing to 13th place at St Lite Kinen, but I would like to give you some data that will be a tailwind.

・ Results at the time of horse number single digit number[3-1-0-1]

Hopeful S, Japan Derby, and Arima Kinen, which correspond to the horse number lid digit number, are outside the betting ticket. It is a horse that was peeping at the danger at the time of the outer frame, probably because of its leg quality. The outside of the betting ticket with the horse number single digit number is St Lite Kinen, but at that time it was wrapped in a straight line and was wrapped in a group of horses and could not be chased at all. There is a feeling that the last two runs of consecutive wins with the horse number lid digit number have run up the stairs to the super horse regardless of the frame order, and there is a good possibility that the consecutive wins will be extended by allocating horse number 6.

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■ Efforia’s Demon Gate is an Epiphaneia piece with “Zero Victory”

The previous run, which chose the Osaka Hai for this year’s starting race, was the 9th place.The result was a dark cloud dripping into this year’s performance.Efforia.. Was the shortening of the distance from Arima Kinen and the first Kansai area affected? Still, the strength that I demonstrated last year is real … As various thoughts come to my mind, I would like to tell you the following data.

・ Epiphaneia production piece[0-1-1-13]facing GI from 3rd place or less in the previous race
・ Hanshin Shiba 2200m results from Epiphaneia[0-2-2-16]

Horses such as Circle of Life and Aristotle, which are highly popular in GI, are also out of the betting ticket. Efforia himself is limited to winning in GI when he is in the second place in the previous race, and it can be seen that there is a tendency for production pieces to take advantage of that momentum during the favorable season. In addition, Epiphaneia’s piece is Hanshin Shiba 2200m and there is still no winning star. There is no end to the anxiety factors that are placed on the representative horse of the year, which is expected to rebound.

◆[Takarazuka Kinen 2022 Forecast / Data Strategy-Part 2]Achievement horses that destroy the strongest two strongholds, betting ticket rate “100%” is a strong tailwind

◆[Takarazuka Kinen 2022 Forecast / Pedigree Tendency]Ambush soldiers around the assumed “10 popularity” with “over 80% quorum” if conditions are met

◆[Takarazuka Kinen 2022 Forecast / Dangerous Popular Horse]Popular GI horse is evaluated as “erased” “Horse feels pressure”

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▼ Horse Racing Story Teller, Motonari Tahara’s Group Race Analysis TV “2022 Takarazuka Kinen-Data Analysis”

Author profile

Motonari Tahara (Near Tahara) ● Horse-race critic
“Horse Racing Story Teller” continues to convey the appeal of horse racing predictions to the world. He finds the mysterious charm of expectations and writes horse racing books in the fields of rotation and pedigree. Currently writing a column at “Horse Racing Salon” in UMAJIN[Horse Racing Critic Motonari Tahara’s Perspectives on Expectations]. In “SPREAD”, we will unravel the background that can be read from data analysis and convey “the essence of horse racing behind the data”.

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