Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung 39.5% vs. People’s Power candidate Yoon Seok-yeol 40%. These are the results of a poll conducted by the Korea Social Opinion Research Institute (KSOI) on 1,007 voters from the 19th to the 20th (±3.1 percentage points with a 95% sample error level of confidence), commissioned by TBS. It is also a public opinion poll criticized by the People’s Power as a ‘sky Kongkong-like opinion poll (former member Jang Seong-min)’ and ‘hakse-moomin’s poll (former member Kim Young-hwan)’.
Lee Kang-yoon, director of the Korean Social Opinion Research Institute, appeared on YTN Radio’s ‘Starting New Morning’ on the 25th and expressed his discomfort at this criticism. “When Sky Kong Kong saw something, it was really absurd,” he said.
The opposition argues that it is unrealistic that the gap between the two candidates has decreased from 13.2 percentage points to 0.5 percentage points compared to the same survey conducted the previous week.am. However According to the complaint, this is a possible outcome.all. He said, “The number of conservative respondents (who responded to the Hansayeon poll) decreased by 3.4% compared to the previous week, and the number of people who said they supported the Democratic Party increased by 3.6%. It was 11-12 percentage points, and that was reflected quite a bit.”said.
The change in the proportion of respondents by ideology or political party in opinion polls is a natural result of their ‘desire to speak’, he argued. Basically, in current opinion polls, conservative respondents have a higher percentage of responses, but this means that the latest polls have been reflected in the results as the number of conservative respondents decreases and the number of Democratic supporters increases. Director Lee said, “Public polling organizations cannot determine what percentage of conservatives and what percentage of liberals are.
“Yun Seok-yeol needs Kim Jong-in… Lee Jae-myung highlights the candidate policy announcement”
On this day’s broadcast, he appeared with the director “Public polls are not perfect,” said Bae Jong-chan, director of Insight K’s research institute. He agreed that the narrowing gap between the two candidates was a common trend in all poll results.
In fact, the results of a Realmeter survey of 1,011 people commissioned by YTN on the 22nd and 23rd (±3.1% points at the 95% confidence level in sampling error) were 37% Lee Jae-myung and 44.1% Yoon Seok-yeol, with a gap of 9.8 percentage points in the same survey two weeks ago. decreased to 7.1 percentage points. During the same period, Gallup Korea conducted a survey of 1,011 people commissioned by Money Today (±3.1 percentage points at the 95% confidence level in sampling error), which was 37.1% Lee Jae-myung and 38.4% Yoon Seok-yeol, with a gap of 1.3 from 9.3 percentage points in the same survey two weeks ago. reduced to % points.
Director Bae said, “The presidential election is determined by candidates, composition, and issues, and in the meantime, the composition of high public opinion about regime change has had a major impact. They are announcing a policy of dong-bun-seo-ju, saying that they are not Lee Jae-myung of the Democratic Party, but Lee Jae-myung of the Democratic Party.”did.
On the other hand, for Candidate Yoon, “It was high due to the ‘fisherman’s approval rating’ that raised public opinion about regime change, but there was a conflict with Kim Jong-in, former emergency committee chairman, over the election committee.” It is interpreted that the situation changed with the confrontation betweenhe explained.
Director Bae predicted that in the future election strategy, candidate Yoon would show the advantage of ‘composition’ and that candidate Lee would break through with a person. He said, “That’s why Candidate Yoon needs former Vice Chairman Kim Jong-in, and Lee Jae-myung is going to the Democratic Party of Korea, not Lee Jae-myung.” claimed that
Detailed information on the polls cited in this article can be found by visiting the websites of each polling company and the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee.
Hyun-woo In reporter [email protected]
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