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Will China and Taiwan’s Big Serious Problem “Falling Birth Rate” Put a Brake on Military Conflict? As the birth rate and aging population worsen faster than Japan, the 20s suitable for military service also fell sharply (1/6) | JBpress (JBpress)

Population Declining Births and Aging Population, Faster than in Japan

Crowds of Chinese tourists wait for a train at a railway station in Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China, ahead of the Lunar New Year (file photo, January 20, 2023, photo: ZUMA Press / Aflo)

(Hiroyuki Kawashima: Chief Economic Adviser, Research and Combat Management, Vingroup, Vietnam)


Through the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China in October last year (2022) and the 14th National People’s Congress in March this year, Xi Jinping managed to secure key positions in the party and government with close aides. There is no one now who can oppose Xi Jinping’s decisions.

Such Xi Jinping adheres to the unification of Taiwan, and the invasion of Taiwan is in a situation where Xi Jinping’s chest is three inches.

Decline in birth rates in Taiwan, China and Japan

In Taiwan, which may be subject to military invasion, the birth rate is falling. Figure 1 shows changes in TFR (total fertility rate) in Taiwan, China, and Japan.


Figure 1 Trends in TFR (Total Fertility Rate) in Taiwan, China, and Japan (Source: United Nations Population Division)

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