Baht Boost: Thai Stocks See Uptick as Morning Index Shifts to Sideways Trend
Thai Stock Market Expected to Swing Sideways Today
InfoQuest News Agency (13 Sep ’24)
Analysts predict the Thai stock market to fluctuate sideways today, maintaining an upward trend driven by fund inflows and a strengthened baht. The market also anticipates the US Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates, following the release of the US economic report.
Mr. Weerawat Wirojphoka, Senior Director of the Securities Analysis Department of Investment Advisory Securities (BLP) FSS International Company Limited, stated that the Thai stock market’s trend today is expected to vary sideways within the framework. However, it can also be a picture of an upswing, driven by the direction of money flowing in (Fund Flow) from the strengthening baht.
The investment climate is starting to relax, following the release of the US economic figures. This has caused investors to start giving more weight to the reduction of the interest rate of the Federal Reserve of the United States (Fed) this year to 0.50%. Domestic factors are still waiting to see the economic stimulus measures come out, following the first Cabinet meeting next week.
Market Analysis
Provides resistance at 1,435 points, support at 1,415 points.
Investment Considerations
– New York Stock Exchange (12 September 2024) The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 41,096.77 points, an increase of 235.06 points or +0.58%, the S&P 500 index closed at 5,595.76 points, an increase of 41.63 points or +0.75%, and the Nasdaq index closed at 17,569.68 points, up 174.15 points or +1.00%.
– Asian stock markets open today. The Nikkei Index of the Tokyo Stock Exchange opened at 36,882.41 points, an increase of 49.14 points or +0.13%, the Shanghai Composite Index of the Chinese Stock Exchange opened at 2,718.99 points, an increase of 1.87 points or +0.07%, and the Hang Seng Index of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange opened at 17,298.35 points, an increase of 57.96 points or +0.34%.
– The Thai stock market closed most recently (12 September 2024) at 1,421.58 points, an increase of 6.17 points (+0.44%), trading value 47,509.74 million baht.
Featured Stocks
– TOA (Kingsford) recommends “Buy” with a Bloomberg Consensus target of 25.20 baht, H1 / 67 net profit at 1,281 million baht -6.72% (YoY from higher marketing and advertising staff costs. Including asset sales and factory relocations in Malaysia In the next period, although Q3/67 may weaken QoQ according to the season, it is expected to recover well in Q4/67, supported by the season – repairs after the flood. Still interesting from being a stock in SET100, SETESG ESG Ratings Level A. The market expects profits in 2024-25 at 2,496 million baht (-5.34%YoY) and 2,673 million baht (+7.09%YoY).
– AURA (Kasikornthai) recommends “Buy” at a base price of 18.48 baht, a trend of continuous growth. especially gold loans and gold retail Expanded strongly because demand was higher than target. Gold prices are expected to remain high as macroeconomic trends support them. Fed interest rate cuts and geopolitical tensions The company also plans to diversify its sources of capital by issuing bonds this year to increase liquidity and support the expansion of its loan portfolio. Including the opportunity to increase the gold premium to support long term profit potential. The stock price is still 32% below its all-time high of 20.3 baht despite continued strong profits.
– MINT (Pie) recommends ”Buy” with a target price of 36 baht 1. Opportunity for growth on a strong business network. and variations in pubs, the net profit margin is lower than the group average 2. Gross profit margin (GPM) tends to grow from the Assets Light business push plan 3. Benefits of tourists recovering in Europe (ETC). Tourist spending in 2024 increased +14% YoY and 4. Interesting stock value: EV/EBITDA at 6x, the 2nd lowest in the tourism sector, while PE trades at 20x.
By Jirayut Chansongsakul/Sasithorn Simaporn
