Blue Wall Showdown: Trump and Harris Clash in the 2024 US Election Battle Royale

Most recently, from the results of a survey over the past week, it was found in 3 states which are the main battleground states. Trump has the upper hand in Pennsylvania’s approval ratings. But the scores were very close in Wisconsin and Michigan. Meanwhile, Harris is trying to rush to score points in these states by campaigning in districts to win popular votes in the final stretch. So competition in these battleground states is crucial in determining the outcome of the upcoming elections.

The last time is quite worrying for Harris. Because he came out strong, he had a high approval rating, and he was young compared to Trump. Recently, President Joe Biden responded to Trump saying that people who will vote for him are trash. It is considered a very big deal. To which the Democrats were alarmed. Like when Hillary Clinton campaigned. And say it’s easy to influence people who vote for Republicans or Trump. Not very knowledgeable So the popularity rate dropped. In addition, Harris is visiting the Pennsylvania area where the decision will be made. There are many people of Latin American descent. Therefore, the overall picture cannot be judged conclusively. But if you look at the state decision, Trump is starting to gain more of an advantage.

The role of popularity and populism in US elections

Professor Dr Panithan said that although Kamala Harris has a slightly higher approval rating from national polls than Trump, But the US election system It is an electoral college system. The results of the overall popularity score are not the real decision. But scores in different states have a greater role This system is unique to the United States. which emphasizes the balance of power between states and in the previous election Trump won in the Blue Wall states to win overall Although he did not win the popular vote

Allan Lichtman, historian at American University Accurate presidential election forecasters for over 30 years say Harris has a strong chance of winning. But this depends on the turnout. If 70% or more voters turn out to vote, Trump’s chances of winning the upper hand will also increase. This is because there are approximately 160 million registrants in the United States, but only 60% of all registrants come out to exercise their rights. This is a lower rate than many countries.

Fear and opposition to immigrants

In this election Both parties’ strategies focus on mobilizing groups of people who have not participated in previous elections. Especially the elderly group specific groups of black American women and Latino groups by Trump using the “America First” concept to make anti-immigration a priority with vice presidential candidates from Trump’s side

JD Vance has revealed that there are more than 25 million illegal immigrants in the United States. This is a group that has been accused of having the potential to destroy American society. It created panic among Republican supporters. Meanwhile, Harris’ side has tried to stir up positive sentiments by emphasizing inclusive policies for all groups of people. and pointed to the uncertainty that could arise if Trump regained leadership.

This election is likely to be based on who the person is, who likes who, and who is afraid of what, 61% of the interviewees are afraid of immigrants. I’m afraid people will come and take my job. Therefore, Trump’s policies from the past which has been used for almost 10 years, America First, will target immigrant workers.