Manchester’s economic resurgence is prompting a national conversation about whether its success can be replicated across the United Kingdom. With an annual growth rate of 3.1%, Manchester’s economy is currently performing more than twice as well as the UK as a whole, according to recent data. This performance is fueling a debate around “Manchesterism” – a locally-rooted approach to economic development centered on devolution, strategic investment, and a thriving cultural scene.
The city’s trajectory, marked by a long-term vision and cross-party support, offers both a model and a cautionary tale for other regions. Key to Manchester’s success has been a consistent strategy, built over decades, and supported by successive central governments. This long-term planning, coupled with public and private sector collaboration, has fostered an environment conducive to growth.
A significant component of this strategy has been devolution – the transfer of power from central government to local authorities. In 2014, Manchester signed a landmark devolution agreement, granting the region additional powers and increased accountability through an elected mayor. Subsequent deals have further expanded the city region’s responsibilities and control over key areas.
The role of universities and transport investment are also considered critical. Manchester boasts five universities, contributing to a steady stream of graduates and a “stickiness” of talent that encourages young professionals to remain in the city post-graduation. The Manchester Airport Group, partially owned by the city council, has also been a major financial contributor, generating nearly £500 million in dividends over the past two decades, providing a substantial revenue stream for local investment.
Former council leader Richard Leese and chief executive Howard Bernstein are credited with laying the groundwork for much of the city’s current success. Their leadership, spanning decades, was instrumental in shaping the city’s development and attracting investment. Current city region mayor Andy Burnham has built upon this foundation by securing public control over transport and skills initiatives, aiming to distribute the benefits of the economic boom more widely.
However, the benefits of this growth are not universally felt. Concerns remain about ensuring that the economic prosperity reaches residents priced out of the city center and those in surrounding towns. Burnham acknowledges this challenge, and efforts are underway to address it, but the issue of equitable distribution remains a key consideration.
The city’s burgeoning food and hospitality scene, alongside its established music industry, are also playing a role in attracting businesses and talent. This vibrant cultural landscape provides a testing ground for new brands and fosters a sense of community that is appealing to both residents and investors.
But can this “special sauce,” as described by Andy Spinoza, author of Manchester Unspun, be replicated elsewhere? Spinoza argues that Manchester possesses a unique combination of factors – devolution, a major airport, a strong university sector, a diverse economy, and a thriving culture – that are difficult to replicate. He suggests that simply copying Manchester’s policies may not yield the same results.
The success of Manchester raises important questions for the rest of the country. It demonstrates the potential returns to ambition, long-term strategic planning, and a sense of optimism. While the city’s unique circumstances may make direct replication challenging, the lessons learned from its transformation offer valuable insights for regions seeking to stimulate economic growth. The city’s experience suggests that a combination of devolved powers, strategic investment in infrastructure and education, and a focus on fostering a vibrant cultural scene can create a powerful engine for economic development.
The current economic climate in the UK, characterized by sluggish growth, makes Manchester’s success all the more noteworthy. The city’s performance stands in stark contrast to the general economic despondency felt across much of the country, prompting a re-evaluation of existing economic strategies and a closer look at the “Manchester model.” The city’s story is a reminder that economic growth is not simply a matter of national policy, but also of local leadership, strategic vision, and a willingness to embrace change.
The question now is whether other regions can learn from Manchester’s experience and adapt its principles to their own unique circumstances. The challenge lies in identifying the key ingredients of Manchester’s success and replicating them in a way that is tailored to the specific needs and opportunities of each region. This will require a willingness to experiment, to collaborate, and to embrace a long-term perspective.
