Canada Survey: Middle East Conflict Fears Rise Over Hormuz Strait

A new poll indicates that a vast majority of Canadians are concerned about the escalating conflict in Iran and the potential for wider Middle East war, as well as the possibility of Canadian military involvement. The survey, conducted by Canada Pulse Insights for CityNews, found that 84 per cent of Canadians are worried the conflict centred on the Strait of Hormuz could spread.

The poll, released on Thursday, April 2, 2026, also revealed that 80 per cent of Canadians are concerned that any Canadian military involvement could put personnel in harm’s way. This concern comes after the U.S. And Israel launched attacks on Iran in late February, prompting Iran to effectively close the Strait of Hormuz, a critical transit point for approximately 20 per cent of the world’s oil supply.

Concerns Vary by Demographic

The level of concern regarding a wider Middle East war varies across different demographic groups. Those aged 65 and older expressed the highest level of worry, with 92 per cent fearing escalation. This was followed by those aged 35-54 (82 per cent) and those aged 18-34 (75 per cent). Women also showed greater concern than men, with 86 per cent worried compared to 82 per cent of men.

Despite these concerns, the poll found that over 70 per cent of Canadians are prepared to accept some type of military role for Canada in the conflict. However, the conditions under which they would support such involvement are specific. Thirty-seven per cent would accept a military role if it were backed by a broad coalition of allies, while just over one-third (32 per cent) would support involvement with a clear United Nations mandate.

A smaller percentage, 32 per cent, would support a Canadian military role if Canadian forces were guaranteed a non-combat role. Only 15 per cent indicated willingness to participate even without a UN or broad coalition mandate, even if requested by key allies. Notably, 30 per cent of those polled stated they do not want Canada involved in any military action.

Economic Impact and Regional Instability

The conflict in Iran is already having economic repercussions, as highlighted in a research brief from Marcus Millichap. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted global oil markets, leading to price fluctuations. While the U.S. Signaled in early March that the conflict might be winding down, uncertainty remains, potentially pushing oil prices higher for the next three to six months.

The Marcus Millichap report suggests that a sustained rise in oil prices could benefit Alberta’s economy, boosting the province’s energy sector and labour market. However, it also warns of potential stagflation risks due to increased inflation and inflation expectations. The disruption to oil tanker traffic was initiated following joint airstrikes by the United States and Israel.

International Efforts for Resolution

Gulf states are seeking a United Nations mandate for a force to protect shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, according to recent reports. Iran’s closure of the strait has prevented commercial vessels and oil tankers from transiting the vital waterway. Israel has also been escalating its campaign in Lebanon amidst the ongoing tensions.

The situation remains fluid, with ongoing concerns about the potential for further escalation and the broader implications for regional stability. The Canadian public, according to the Canada Pulse Insights poll, is closely watching developments and expressing a clear desire for a cautious and considered approach to any potential military involvement.