China to the Rescue: Can Beijing’s Billions Revive Sri Lanka’s Ailing Economy
Sri Lanka’s Financial Trouble and Hopes for Construction Projects Funded by China
Sri Lanka is facing severe financial difficulties and is pinning its hopes on construction projects funded by China to bring in much-needed vitality to its economy.
The country’s economic collapse is partly attributed to the government’s heavy borrowing from China to finance massive infrastructure construction projects. Despite this, presidential candidates in the upcoming election are still betting on at least one construction project to reverse this trend.
Sri Lanka has a history of launching construction projects that have been criticized as “white elephants” and have been accused of falling into the “One Belt, One Road” debt trap set by China.
In 2022, the country suffered its worst economic recession in history, with President Gotabaya Rajapaksa facing intense criticism for his handling of the economy.
US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Director Bill Burns has also weighed in on the issue, blaming the government for making a “stupid bet” on a Chinese-funded construction project.
This includes the construction of an international airport without planes, a port without ships, an empty convention center, and a 350-meter-tall communication tower that the radio station has avoided.
Unable to repay its debt, Sri Lanka leased Hambantota Port to China for 99 years at a price of US$1.12 billion in 2017.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has provided a bailout package of US$2.9 billion to the Colombo authorities, but the country still faces a huge amount of loans and interest accumulated due to the lack of foreign debt.
The three most popular candidates in the current polls – incumbent President Ranil Wickremesinghe, opposition leader Sajith Premadasa, and Marxist leader Anura Kumara Dissanayaka – are all counting on the Chinese-funded “Port City” real estate development project to attract foreign investors.
This development project was announced in 2014, with the China Harbor Engineering Company (CHEC) investing US$1.4 billion in a 269-hectare piece of land next to the Colombo harbor.
Billed as the “Gateway to South Asia”, it is a special economic zone with a 40-year tax holiday.
However, critics point out that the companies currently relocating to the special zone are either existing Sri Lankan companies or foreign companies already operating in the country.
Imran Furkan of Tresync, a geopolitical risk analysis company, said: “What is the reason for these companies to enter Hong Kong? The answer is simple and there is only one, because they have received very generous tax holidays from 25 to 40 years.”
Furkan pointed out that India has always considered neighboring Sri Lanka within its sphere of influence, but the “Port City” development project has concerns about intensifying the strategic competition between China and India.
Furkan said Indian companies that have benefited from domestic duty-free zones may not be willing to deal with landlords with Chinese state-owned enterprise backgrounds.
“This makes no economic or strategic sense,” he warned.
