/Colombia’s Security Situation Under Petro
- Colombia's armed forces are currently in "crisis management mode" and burdened by a "readiness debt" due to policies enacted under President Gustavo Petro, according to security analyst Alfonso...
- In 2023,Camacho-Martinez argued that President Petro's actions significantly weakened Colombia's military,inadvertently strengthening armed non-state actors.
- As of January 18, 2026, Camacho-Martinez notes a shift from a rapid decline to a state of managing ongoing crises.
Colombia’s military Faces a “readiness Debt” Under President Petro
Colombia’s armed forces are currently in “crisis management mode” and burdened by a “readiness debt” due to policies enacted under President Gustavo Petro, according to security analyst Alfonso Camacho-Martinez.While not in “free fall” as he assessed in 2023, the military’s operational capacity has been strained, allowing criminal groups increased freedom of movement.
Background on Petro’s policies and initial Concerns
In 2023,Camacho-Martinez argued that President Petro’s actions significantly weakened Colombia’s military,inadvertently strengthening armed non-state actors. His initial concerns centered on perceived underfunding, personnel changes, and a shift in strategic priorities. These changes, he warned, would erode the military’s ability to effectively counter threats from groups like the ELN (National Liberation Army) and various criminal organizations.
Current Assessment: Crisis Management, Not Collapse
As of January 18, 2026, Camacho-Martinez notes a shift from a rapid decline to a state of managing ongoing crises. The Colombian armed forces still possess valuable operational experience and maintain areas of strength. However, accumulated deficiencies in readiness-the “readiness debt”-are increasingly apparent. This allows criminal groups to dictate the terms of engagement in certain regions.
Camacho-Martinez initially detailed his concerns in an article published in 2023, titled “By Weakening the Military, Colombia’s Petro Imperils His hopes for Peace.”
Image: U.S. National Guard
