Dirham Depreciation: August 28 – September 3
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Morocco Moves Towards Full Exchange Rate Liberalization by 2026, Market Activity Mixed
Morocco is progressing towards a complete liberalization of its exchange rate regime, with full implementation anticipated by 2026. This shift, initially reported by Boursorama, aims to increase the adaptability of the Moroccan dirham.
Market Performance: Interbank & Stock Exchange
During the week of August 28 to September 3, the interbank market saw an average daily exchange volume of 3.8 billion Moroccan dirhams (MMDH). The average interbank rate was 2.25%. on September 3 (value date September 4), the central bank injected 56.2 MMDH into the system through 7-day advances.
The Casablanca Stock Exchange’s MASI index experienced a slight decline of 0.4% during the same period, but remains up 36.4% year-to-date. Sector performance was varied. The “buildings and building materials” and “banks” indices decreased by 3.1% and 1.3% respectively, while the “participation and real estate promotion,” “telecommunications,” and ”transportation” sectors saw increases of 4.7%,2.1%, and 1.5% respectively.
Weekly exchange volume on the stock market rose from 2.1 MMDH to 3 MMDH, with the majority of activity concentrated on the Central Actions market.
Implications of Exchange Rate Liberalization
The move towards a floating exchange rate is a important policy shift for Morocco. Currently, the dirham operates under a managed float regime, where the central bank intervenes to manage fluctuations. full liberalization will allow the exchange rate to be resolute primarily by market forces of supply and demand.
Potential benefits of this change include:
- Increased competitiveness: A more flexible exchange rate can definitely help Moroccan exports become more competitive in international markets.
- Attracting foreign investment: A transparent and market-driven exchange rate can enhance investor confidence.
- Improved macroeconomic stability: Allowing the exchange rate to absorb shocks can reduce the need for other, possibly more costly, stabilization measures.
however, liberalization also carries risks, including increased exchange rate volatility, which could impact businesses and consumers. The central bank will likely continue to monitor the market closely and may intervene to smooth excessive fluctuations during the transition period.
