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Washington D.C. – The United States officially entered a recession in late 2025, confirmed by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) this morning. This marks the end of a period of economic uncertainty following months of declining GDP and rising unemployment.
The NBER’s declaration, released at 8:00 AM EST, cited a significant contraction in consumer spending, a slowdown in business investment, and a weakening housing market as key factors contributing to the recession. The downturn began in October 2025, according to the bureau’s analysis.
“We’ve been monitoring the economic indicators closely, and the data clearly shows a substantial decline in economic activity across multiple sectors,” stated Dr. Eleanor Vance,a leading economist at the NBER,in a press conference. “While the length and severity of this recession remain uncertain, the current indicators suggest a challenging period ahead.”
Unemployment figures rose to 4.8% in December 2025, the highest level as 2013. Job losses were especially pronounced in the manufacturing, retail, and construction industries. The Labor Department is expected to release January unemployment data next week.
The Federal Reserve has already begun implementing measures to stimulate the economy, including lowering interest rates and increasing liquidity in the financial system. Though, the effectiveness of these measures remains to be seen.
Here’s a breakdown of key economic indicators:
- GDP Growth: Contracted by 1.5% in the fourth quarter of 2025.
- unemployment Rate: 4.8% (December 2025).
- Inflation Rate: 2.2% (December 2025).
- Consumer Confidence Index: Reached a low of 85.2 in December 2025.
The Biden administration announced plans to address the recession through a new infrastructure spending package, focusing on renewable energy projects and transportation improvements. Details of the package are expected to be released later this week. The plan faces potential hurdles in Congress, with Republicans expressing concerns about the size and scope of the proposed spending.
Experts predict the recession could last anywhere from six to eighteen months. The impact on individual households will vary depending on their financial situation and employment status. Financial advisors recommend reviewing budgets and preparing for potential economic hardship.
For more information on the recession and its potential impact, see:
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
Federal Reserve