East Asia’s 10-Year Climate Forecast & Korea’s National Prediction System
- SEOUL — The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) has initiated the advancement of a "national climate prediction system" designed to forecast climate patterns up to 10 years in advance...
- With a budget of 49.5 billion won (approximately $37 million USD), the seven-year project, slated for completion by 2031, seeks to establish an autonomous system capable of generating...
- 30, with the primary objective of creating a domestic climate prediction system rooted in the KMA's operational numerical weather forecasting model.
Korea Meteorological Governance developing Climate Prediction System for East Asia
Table of Contents
- Korea Meteorological Governance developing Climate Prediction System for East Asia
- Korea Meteorological Administration to Develop Climate Prediction System for east Asia: Your Questions answered
- What is the korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) doing?
- Why is the KMA developing this new climate prediction system?
- What is the project’s goal?
- How much is the project costing and how long will it take?
- When did the project begin?
- What will the new climate prediction system do?
- What are the key components of the new climate prediction system?
- Who is involved in this project?
- How is the project structured and what’s the timeline?
- What kind of climate information will be provided?
- How will this new system help south Korea?
- What is the KMA’s overall commitment regarding this project?
- Comparison of Current & Future Climate Prediction Capabilities
SEOUL — The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) has initiated the advancement of a “national climate prediction system” designed to forecast climate patterns up to 10 years in advance for East Asia and the Korean Peninsula. The initiative aims to bolster responses to the escalating climate crisis.
With a budget of 49.5 billion won (approximately $37 million USD), the seven-year project, slated for completion by 2031, seeks to establish an autonomous system capable of generating climate prediction data ranging from one month to a decade.The KMA anticipates that this system will support South Korea’s 2050 carbon neutrality goals and inform effective national policies, planning, and strategies for addressing the climate crisis.
The project officially commenced on Oct. 30, with the primary objective of creating a domestic climate prediction system rooted in the KMA’s operational numerical weather forecasting model.
The KMA emphasizes the increasing urgency for climate crisis response policies tailored to East Asia and the Korean Peninsula,citing the rapid changes in the global environment and the growing socioeconomic losses and casualties resulting from climate-related disasters.
Currently, the KMA relies on climate forecast information from the British Meteorological Agency for predictions within a one-year timeframe. Though, the agency notes limitations in adapting these forecasts to the specific and rapidly evolving climate conditions of East Asia and the Korean Peninsula.
Furthermore, while the KMA oversees and supports climate crisis monitoring and prediction efforts, it faces constraints in providing thorough support for long-term climate crisis planning and systems across diverse sectors such as agriculture and energy.
The new national climate prediction system is intended to address these shortcomings by consistently producing climate prediction information tailored to the Korean Peninsula’s climate environment for periods ranging from one month to 10 years. Starting in 2031,this information will be disseminated annually in formats tailored to the needs of various users.
The KMA has structured the project into two phases (three years and four years) spanning the seven-year period from 2025 to 2031, following two project planning research phases. The first year of the project has been allocated a budget of 4.8 billion won. The “Climate Crisis Prediction Prediction System” initiative involves collaboration with over 270 domestic climate prediction experts, including those from the Ulsan Institute of Science and Technology and Seoul National University.
The system will leverage the KMA’s operational numerical weather forecasting model to develop a global system climate model capable of comprehensively predicting atmospheric and air chemistry, marine conditions, sea ice, ground conditions, and ecosystems.This model will generate climate prediction information for periods ranging from one month to 10 years, encompassing temperature, extreme weather events, snow, hail, storms, and frost.
The project also includes the development of artificial intelligence (AI)-based climate forecasting technology, a lasting public-private partnership climate prediction modeling ecosystem, and a climate forecasting information provision system designed for user convenience.
Jang Dong-eon, head of the Korea meteorological Administration, stated that the agency is committed to “contributing to the timely response to the demand for various climate prediction information and the realization of carbon neutral, and to protect the safety of the people from climate disasters by developing various national climate prediction systems and data processing and utilization technologies that are rapidly changing with the acceleration of climate change.”
Korea Meteorological Administration to Develop Climate Prediction System for east Asia: Your Questions answered
What is the korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) doing?
The KMA is developing a “national climate prediction system” to forecast climate patterns up to 10 years in advance for East Asia and the Korean Peninsula. This initiative is designed to improve responses to the escalating climate crisis.
Why is the KMA developing this new climate prediction system?
The KMA recognizes the increasing urgency of the climate crisis, notably in East Asia and the Korean Peninsula.They are addressing the following shortcomings:
Limitations of Current forecasts: The current reliance on the British Meteorological Agency for forecasts within a one-year timeframe has limitations when adapting to the specific and evolving climate conditions of East Asia.
Need for Long-Term Planning: The KMA aims to provide better support for long-term climate crisis planning across various sectors like agriculture and energy.
What is the project’s goal?
The primary goal is to create an autonomous system that generates climate prediction data for periods ranging from one month to a decade. The system’s insights will support South Korea’s 2050 carbon neutrality goals.
How much is the project costing and how long will it take?
The project has a budget of 49.5 billion won (approximately $37 million USD) and is slated for completion by 2031.
When did the project begin?
The project officially commenced on October 30th.
What will the new climate prediction system do?
The new system will:
Generate climate prediction facts tailored to the Korean Peninsula’s climate environment.
Produce forecasts for periods ranging from one month to 10 years.
Begin disseminating this information annually, starting in 2031.
Focus on predictions related to temperature, extreme weather events, and more.
What are the key components of the new climate prediction system?
The new system will leverage the KMA’s operational numerical weather forecasting model and include:
A global system climate model predicting atmospheric and air chemistry, marine conditions, sea ice, ground conditions, and ecosystems.
AI-based climate forecasting technology.
A public-private partnership climate prediction modeling ecosystem.
A climate forecasting information provision system for user convenience.
Who is involved in this project?
The initiative involves collaboration with over 270 domestic climate prediction experts, including those from the Ulsan Institute of Science and Technology and Seoul National university.
How is the project structured and what’s the timeline?
The project is structured into two phases (three years and four years) spanning the seven-year period from 2025 to 2031. It follows two project planning research phases.
What kind of climate information will be provided?
The system will generate prediction information on:
Temperature
Extreme weather events
Snow
Hail
Storms
Frost
How will this new system help south Korea?
The KMA anticipates that this system will support:
South Korea’s 2050 carbon neutrality goals.
Effective national policies.
Planning and strategies for addressing the climate crisis.
Timely responses to the demand for various climate prediction information.
* Protecting the safety of the people from climate disasters.
What is the KMA’s overall commitment regarding this project?
Jang Dong-eon, head of the Korea Meteorological Administration, stated that the agency is committed to “contributing to the timely response to the demand for various climate prediction information and the realization of carbon neutral, and to protect the safety of the people from climate disasters by developing various national climate prediction systems and data processing and utilization technologies that are rapidly changing with the acceleration of climate change.”
Comparison of Current & Future Climate Prediction Capabilities
Here’s a concise comparison:
| Feature | Current System | New Climate Prediction System |
| ———————— | ————————————– | ———————————————– |
| Forecast Timeframe | Up to one year | One month to 10 years |
| Data Source | British Meteorological Agency | KMA’s Operational Numerical Model and AI |
| Regional Focus | Limited adaptation to East Asia | Tailored to the Korean Peninsula |
| Support for Planning | Limited | Enhanced support across diverse sectors |
| Information Dissemination | not explicitly stated in the article | Annual dissemination,tailored to user needs |