Gold Rush in the Big Apple: New York Market Sees $30.10 Surge as Fed Rate Cut Hopes Soar
Gold Prices Soar to Record Highs Amid Expectations of Fed Interest Rate Cut
New York gold futures closed on a positive note on Friday, September 13, reaching record highs as investors remain hopeful that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates by 0.50% at its upcoming monetary policy meeting.
The COMEX gold contract for December delivery increased by $30.10 or 1.17% to close at $2,610.70/oz, marking a 3.14% gain for the week.
Other precious metals also saw significant gains, with the money agreement for December delivery rising by $0.967 or 3.21% to close at $31.074/oz. Platinum contracts for October delivery increased by $24.60 or 2.50% to close at $1,006.80/ounce, while palladium contracts for December delivery rose by $22.20 or 2.12% to close at $1,071.00/oz.
Factors Contributing to Gold Price Surge
The surge in gold prices can be attributed to several factors, including the weakening of the dollar and the decline in US government bond yields. A weaker dollar increases the attractiveness of gold, making it cheaper for holders of other currencies. Additionally, the reduction in US government bond yields reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, as it is an asset that generates no interest income.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, fell 0.25% to 101.114, further contributing to the rise in gold prices.
Fed Officials’ Comments Fuel Rate Cut Expectations
Comments from Fed officials have also fueled expectations of a rate cut. Joan Faust, senior adviser to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, stated that if Fed officials conclude that they are likely to cut interest rates by 0.50% in November or December, it would be wise for them to do so now that interest rates are further from their final destination.
Bill Dudley, former president of the New York Fed, also echoed similar sentiments, stating that there is a strong chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by as much as 0.50% at its meeting next week.
“I think there is a strong chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.50% whether they do or not,” Dudley said.
Investors are increasingly betting on a rate cut, with CME Group’s latest FedWatch Tool indicating that 49% of investors expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.50% to 4.75-5.00% at its September 18 meeting.
Potential Impact of Rate Cut on Gold Prices
If the Fed cuts interest rates as expected, it will be the first rate cut by the Fed this year and the first in over 4 years. This could potentially lead to a further surge in gold prices, as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold and increase its attractiveness to investors.
By Kanlayanee Chewapich
