Fed Official Warns Affordability Crisis Poses Risk to US Economy
The mounting problems facing poorer Americans are leaving the world’s most notable economy exposed to risks of a downturn, a top Federal Reserve official has warned, highlighting the “balancing act” facing central bankers as thay consider whether to cut interest rates again in December.
John Williams, president of the New York Fed, said data and conversations with community leaders highlighted that many poorer households were facing an affordability crisis.
“There is quite a bit of evidence . . .that lower and moderate-income households are facing some constraints from an affordability point of view,” williams told the Financial Times. “From the cost of living, the housing costs and basically many families living month to month.”
Meanwhile, wealthier Americans were benefiting from the stock market “booming near all-time highs”.
With the US jobs market cooling, Williams signalled that what he dubbed the “disaggregated” behavior of US households could be a factor in determining whether or not he thinks the Fed should cut borrowing costs in december – a vote he described as a “balancing act”.
While US growth overall had proven much more resilient than many economists had anticipated and inflation remained above the Fed’s 2 per cent goal, the pain felt by more vulnerable households because of the high cost of living meant the US economy could be knocked off course.
“Something could happen that cuts into confidence, or consumer spending growth that we’re seeing at the aggregate level may not be as robust, if you will, as it would be otherwise, given that a lot of folks are really, again, living month to month,” said Williams, who is also vice-chair of the rate-setting Federal Open Market committee.
Fed officials – including chair Jay Powell and influential governor Christopher Waller – have started to focus more on how a labor market which Williams described as lacking “a lot of strength and momentum” could affect the economic prospects of normal Americans.
Powell and Waller have noted strong consumer spending is being disproportionately driven by the highest earners.
The pain felt by poorer and middle-income American households is also affecting the political climate, propelling Zohran Mamdani to victory in the race for New York mayor, where he ran on a platform of lowering living costs.
The poor showing of candidates backed by US President Donald Trump in the city’s mayoral race and votes for the governorships of Virginia and New Jersey has also been linked to a crisis in affordability similar to that which plagued Joe Biden’s presidency.
The Fed has cut borrowing costs by a quarter-point at each of its past two policy votes because of evidence the
