Hamas & US Plan: War End Condition

If it is true that the first to smell the air that pulls are not the dogs but the stock exchange agents, the official declaration of Hamas – after the nocturnal announcement of Donald Trump on the yes of Israel at a 60 -day respite – has already had positive results on the markets. On Wednesday evening the Tel Aviv bag closed in strong rise. By inducing to believe that behind the scenes that count in Israel, the turning point in negotiations for the agreement on Gaza and the release of the hostages could have come. Regardless of the vaguely threatening message of the US President of Tuesday evening: “I hope, for the good of the Middle East, that Hamas accepts this agreement, because the situation will not improve, but worse”.

The Palestinian faction has meanwhile opened a glimmer, but not without reiterating its red lines: immediately the end of the war and the withdrawal of the Idf from the strip. Trying to push on the announcement of the US president who spoke of a process to be defined during the 60 days. “The mediatory brothers are making intense efforts to fill the differences between the parties and achieve a framework agreement that allows the opening of a serious cycle of negotiations”, wrote the Palestinian faction in his press release: “We are facing the situation with great responsibility, leading national consultations (with the other factions of the strip) and discussing the proposals that have been presented to us, with the aim of reaching an agreement aggression, the withdrawal of forces and humanitarian emergency assistance to our people in the Gaza strip “.
That is: the end of the fighting, the output of the IDF from the strip and the aid remain unavoidable for Hamas. According to high -level sources, cited by the Israeli media, Hamas could agree to proceed in negotiations, but with requests for changes.

At the moment the central issues seem to no longer concern the number of hostages that should return to freedom and in which phases, but the conditions for a ceased fire. Hamas officials remained anonymous have hypothesized that, with the modifications requested, an agreement could be reached within one or two weeks. Two Arab diplomats of the mediatory countries declared to the Times of Israel that among the critical points there is the group’s request to return to the old mechanisms of distribution of humanitarian aid or to establish a new system that replaces the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation. The American organization is instead considered fundamental by the USA and by Israel to prevent the aid from ending up in the hands of the militiamen, who in addition to reselling them by making them, allows Hamas to maintain control of genres only in Gaza and therefore power over the population.

The proposal currently on the table is defined as a “improved witkoff”, from the name of the US advance which in recent months has presented different drafts of agreement. And it provides for the release of 10 Israeli hostages still alive to Gaza and the return of the bodies of other 18 deceased, during a ceased the 60 -day fire. The rest of the kidnapped would be released only in case of reaching the permanent truce. For its part, Hamas would like to make other changes to the Witkoff plan, providing that the release of the first 10 hostages be distributed for the duration of the truce, instead of two tranches the first and seventh day, to prevent Netanyahu from abandoning the interviews after the release of the hostages. The prime minister, practically simultaneously with the official note from Hamas, while not responding directly to the announcement of Trump, spoke of Gaza again. “I tell you clearly: Hamas will no longer exist. There will be no ‘Hamastan’. We don’t go back.
It’s over. We will free all our hostages, “he said.

Adding that Israel will not waste this historical moment: “We have a huge opportunity, we will connect the Asia and the Middle East, including the Arabic Peninsula, its immense energy resources, to the West. It will happen,” he added.
Hamas sources filtered the Saudi newspaper Asharq al-Awasat that the proposal was shared with the factions of the strip with the aim of achieving “a Palestinian consent in support of any agreement that may emerge”.
And they evaluated that “at the end of the discussions, the proposal will be welcomed positively”.

‘Iran had undermined ships to block Hormuz’. Pentagon: with the attacks delayed the 2 -year nuclear program

American attacks on nuclear sites delayed the Iranian nuclear program up to two years. This was stated by the Pentagon. “We delayed their program of at least one or two years: they confirm the evaluations of intelligence within the Defense Department,” said the spokesman for Sean Parnell. “We think of times closer to the two years,” he added referring to the American bombings against three Iranian nuclear sites.

Naval mines to block the Strait on the Persian Gulf from where about a fifth of global oil and gas exports passes. This is the plan that Iran had designed as a response to the attacks of Israel that hit the territory of the Islamic Republic in the “12 -day war”. This was revealed by a Washington intelligence report which was mentioned by two United States officials in an article in Reuters. The American secret services could have collected this information through satellite images and clandestine sources on the field, underlines the agency, while American officials preferred not to reveal their identity.

The plan to block the Hormuz Strait was mentioned by Tehran as a response to the Bombing of the United States on the Fordow Nuclear website on June 22 but, according to Washington’s intelligence, the Islamic Republic has already started preparing the action after the attacks of Israel in Iranian territory, which began on June 13. However, it is not clear when exactly the mines have been loaded on ships and whether or not they have been landed but the relationship of intelligence indicates that the Islamic Republic had taken this military action seriously, which could potentially have exploded the price of oil. On the contrary, after the United States attacks on Iranian nuclear sites, prices dropped by more than 10%, in part due to the fact that the conflict has not caused significant interruptions in the oil trade.

In the meantime, the Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has confirmed that the nuclear sites, including Fordow, were “seriously damaged” in the US bombings, while President Masoud Pezeshkian has made official the suspension of cooperation with the international agency for atomic energy (Aiea). The measure had been approved by Parliament after Tehran had accused the director of the UN atomic agency, Rafael Grossi, of being a “partner” of Israel in attacks against Iran. It will remain in force until AIEA “will guarantee the safety of Iranian nuclear sites and scientists”.
Decision condemned by Berlin, which speaks of “a disastrous signal”.

After during the raids of the Jewish state over 700 people were arrested in Iran on charges of being Spies of Israel, the tension remains very high, the arrests and the western and central air space of the country continue is closed to international transit flights for safety reasons, while the oriental airspace remains open. At least two people were killed and 50 other were arrested for “espionage activities for Mossad” near the city of Khash, in the sweaty province of Sistan-Baluchistan. “Five mercenaries, foreign citizens, attempted to create insecurity and collaborate in sabotage with drones. Some mercenaries managed to escape from Iran through the sweaty borders,” said the guards of the revolution in a press release, adding that some local inhabitants who supported these people were injured in the clashes with the security forces.

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