India US Tariffs Moscow Beijing Trade Relations
India Shifts Closer to Russia and China as US Tariffs Fuel Backlash
Here’s a breakdown of the key points from the article:
The Core Issue: the US, under Trump, imposed tariffs on Indian imports (currently 25%, set to double to 50% on August 27th) due to India continuing to purchase Russian crude oil.This has triggered a backlash in India and is pushing the country closer to Russia and China.
Key Developments & Impacts:
Indian Resentment: Indian public opinion views the US tariffs as interference in its sovereign decision-making.
Increased Russian Oil Imports: Despite initial hesitation, India has significantly increased its purchases of discounted Russian oil (now 35% of imports, up from 0.2% before the Ukraine war). Russia is eager to expand this relationship, including LNG exports. Strengthened Ties with Russia & China: Russia is promoting a “great Eurasian partnership” involving Moscow, beijing, and Delhi. India is actively seeking to ease tensions and strengthen relations with China, driven by economic factors and exacerbated by US policies.
Diplomatic Signaling & Durable Shifts: Some of India’s actions are a show of defiance towards the US, but others represent a more lasting shift in policy, particularly regarding economic and defense relationships with Russia.
Defense Diversification (and Reversal): India had been diversifying away from Russian arms, but the ukraine war and US tariffs have led to a renewed reliance on Russian military supplies.
Modi’s Domestic Politics: The situation allows Modi to portray himself as a strong leader defending India’s sovereignty, which is beneficial domestically. He resisted further concessions to the US after making some earlier in his term.
In essence, the article argues that Trump’s tariffs are having the unintended result of pushing India further into the orbit of Russia and China, potentially reshaping geopolitical alliances.
