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India’s Space Program: Resetting After Recent Failures | Project Syndicate

by Ahmed Hassan - World News Editor

New Delhi – The Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO), long celebrated as a national triumph of engineering and a cost-effective competitor in the global space market, is facing a critical juncture. Three mission failures in the past year have triggered a reputational crisis, raising questions about the agency’s strategic direction and its ability to maintain its position in an increasingly crowded commercial landscape.

For decades, ISRO has operated as a David among Goliaths, achieving remarkable feats with comparatively modest budgets. The Mars Orbiter Mission (Mangalyaan), which successfully placed a probe into Martian orbit on its first attempt, and the Chandrayaan-3 mission, the first to land a rover on the Moon’s south pole, stand as testaments to its ingenuity. These accomplishments were achieved with funding that, as one observer noted, would barely cover the marketing budget for a major Hollywood space production.

However, recent setbacks – including failures involving the PSLV (Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle) and the NVS-02 navigation satellite – have cast a shadow over ISRO’s previously stellar record. The failures of the PSLV-C61 mission in May of last year and the PSLV-C62 mission in January represent a significant departure from the vehicle’s historical reliability, boasting a success rate exceeding 90%. Union Science and Technology Minister Jitendra Singh has publicly ruled out sabotage as a cause, stating that the reasons for each failure were distinct. Internal and external committees have been established to analyze the root causes of these issues.

The timing of these failures is particularly sensitive. The global space market is becoming increasingly competitive, with private companies like SpaceX and Blue Origin rapidly expanding their capabilities and market share. A loss of confidence in ISRO’s reliability could jeopardize its ability to attract international commercial contracts, a crucial source of revenue and a key component of India’s space strategy.

Despite the recent difficulties, Minister Singh has indicated that ISRO is targeting a PSLV relaunch in June . This ambitious timeline suggests a concerted effort to address the identified issues and restore confidence in the launch vehicle. The minister described the recent failures as distinct events, using the analogy of a faulty lightbulb versus a tripped circuit breaker to illustrate the differing causes. He emphasized that the agency is taking corrective measures and undergoing rigorous certification processes before attempting another launch.

The failures extend beyond the PSLV. The NVS-02 navigation satellite, launched last year, also experienced issues reaching its intended orbit due to malfunctioning valves in its thrusters. This adds another layer of complexity to the challenges facing ISRO, highlighting potential systemic issues beyond a single launch vehicle.

Importantly, despite the setbacks, there appears to be continued trust in ISRO’s capabilities from both foreign customers and private investors. This suggests that the agency’s long-standing reputation for innovation and cost-effectiveness has not been entirely eroded. However, maintaining this trust will require a transparent and effective response to the recent failures.

The situation demands a “strategic reset” for ISRO, as highlighted by Shashi Tharoor. This reset likely involves a comprehensive review of its processes, technologies, and organizational structure. It may also necessitate increased investment in research and development, as well as a greater focus on quality control and risk management. The agency’s critical role in supporting India’s development, innovation, security, and national pride underscores the urgency of this undertaking.

The PSLV, in particular, has been the workhorse of India’s space program, handling a diverse range of payloads, from strategic defense assets to commercial satellites. Its repeated failures are therefore particularly concerning, signaling a potential vulnerability in India’s space infrastructure. The ongoing investigation into the causes of these failures is crucial not only for rectifying the immediate problems but also for preventing future incidents and ensuring the long-term sustainability of India’s space ambitions.

The next few months will be critical for ISRO. The success of the planned June launch will be a key indicator of whether the agency is on the path to recovery. Beyond the technical aspects, ISRO must also address the broader strategic implications of its recent setbacks and reaffirm its commitment to maintaining its position as a leading player in the global space arena.

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