Irish Tax Plans Unchanged – The Irish Times
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Irish Budget 2024: No Income Tax Cuts Expected, Focus on Cost of Living
Overview
Ireland’s Budget 2024, to be announced next week, is unlikely to include any changes to personal income tax bands or credits, according to sources familiar with teh ongoing discussions. This marks a departure from recent budgets which delivered tax reductions exceeding €1,000 for many workers. The government’s fiscal space is largely committed to measures addressing the cost of living, including potential VAT cuts and continuation of existing tax credits.
Limited Fiscal Space for Tax Changes
The current tax package, announced in July, is capped at €1.5 billion. Sources indicate this allocation will not be expanded. The existing commitments to other measures – a reduction in the Value Added Tax (VAT) for the hospitality sector, a VAT reduction for apartments, the continuation of the renters’ tax credit, and maintaining lower VAT rates for gas and electricity – are consuming the available funds. As one source stated, ”There is no space at all to do a personal tax package.” Irish Times
Without indexing income tax bands and credits to inflation, workers who receive pay increases will effectively pay a higher proportion of their income in tax. This is because the thresholds at which higher tax rates kick in remain unchanged, meaning more income falls into those higher brackets. This contrasts with recent budgets where adjustments to these thresholds and credits mitigated the impact of inflation and wage growth on tax liabilities.
Focus on Cost of Living Relief
The government appears to be prioritizing measures designed to alleviate the ongoing cost of living crisis. Key areas of focus include:
- Hospitality VAT cut: A reduction in VAT for the hospitality sector is being considered to support businesses and potentially lower prices for consumers.
- Apartment VAT Reduction: A lower VAT rate for apartments is also under discussion, potentially incentivizing construction and increasing housing supply.
- Renters’ Tax Credit: The continuation of the renters’ tax credit,introduced in previous budgets,is expected to provide ongoing support to renters.
- Energy VAT Rates: Maintaining the lower VAT rate for gas and electricity is likely to continue, shielding consumers from some of the impact of high energy prices.
Impact on Taxpayers
The absence of income tax cuts will disproportionately affect middle-income earners who have experienced wage increases. While these increases are welcome, a larger portion of that additional income will be subject to taxation. The following table illustrates a simplified example:
| Scenario | Gross Income (€) | Taxable income (€) | Tax Due (€) (Approximate) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 (Tax Cuts Applied) | 50,000 | 46,000 (after credits/bands) | 9,200 |
| 2024 (No Tax Cuts) | 52,000 | 48,000 | 9,600 |
