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Recent reports indicate a decline in Labour Party poll numbers following a landslide victory in the July 2024 general election, coupled with contrasting political fortunes in scotland and England. This analysis examines the factors contributing to this shift, focusing on policy decisions, electoral performance, and the evolving political landscape as of January 25, 2026.
Keir Starmer and Labour’s Post-Election Poll Decline
Table of Contents
Labour’s poll ratings have decreased since winning the July 2024 general election, a trend attributed in part to policy missteps and decisions made by party leader Keir Starmer.
Following a meaningful victory in the July 2024 general election,Labour initially held a significant lead in opinion polls. However, subsequent months saw a narrowing of this gap, with several polls indicating a decline in support. This shift has been linked to specific policy announcements and perceived inconsistencies in the government’s approach. For example, changes to tax policies and environmental regulations faced criticism from various sectors.
According to a YouGov poll conducted in December 2025, Labour’s lead over the Conservatives had shrunk to 8 percentage points, down from 22 percentage points instantly after the election. YouGov - Labour Lead December 2025
scottish Reclaiming Power vs. English Local Election Setbacks
The Labour government is pursuing policies aimed at reclaiming power in Scotland, while concurrently facing challenges in English local elections.
The Scottish National Party (SNP) has dominated Scottish politics for over a decade, and Labour views regaining ground in scotland as a key strategic objective. Policies focused on increased investment in Scottish public services and greater devolution of powers have been proposed. However, these efforts have not translated into immediate electoral success in England.
In May 2025, Labour experienced significant losses in English local elections, particularly in traditionally Labour-held areas. The Conservative Party gained seats, and autonomous candidates also made gains. BBC News – Local Election Results 2025. This outcome was widely interpreted as a protest vote against national policies and a reflection of local concerns.
The Scottish National Party (SNP) and Devolution
The Scottish national Party advocates for Scottish independence and has been a major force in Scottish politics since 2007.
The SNP has consistently pushed for greater autonomy for Scotland, including a second independence referendum. the Labour government’s approach to devolution has been cautious, aiming to address Scottish concerns while maintaining the integrity of the United Kingdom. The scottish Parliament, established in 1999, has legislative powers over areas such as health, education, and local government. Scottish Government – History of Devolution
English Local Elections and Voter Concerns
English local elections serve as a barometer of national political sentiment and often reflect voter dissatisfaction with the ruling party.
The May 2025 local elections highlighted several key concerns among English voters, including the cost of living, the state of the National Health Service (NHS), and immigration. Labour’s performance was particularly weak in areas that had previously been strongholds, suggesting a loss of trust among traditional supporters. The Guardian – Labour Suffers Losses in English Local Elections
Current Political Status (as of January 25, 2026)
As of January 25, 2026, Labour maintains a narrow lead in national opinion polls, but faces ongoing challenges in both Scotland and England.
The political landscape remains fluid, with the next general election not expected until 2029.labour is attempting to address voter concerns through policy adjustments and a renewed focus on local issues.The SNP continues to dominate Scottish politics, while the Conservative Party seeks to capitalize on Labour’s weaknesses in England. recent economic data indicates a slight improvement in the UK’s economic outlook, but the cost of living remains a significant concern for many households.
