Lee Jae-myung, NBS’ First 40%, Hong Joon-pyong 10%, Kim Moon-soo 8%, Han Dong-hoon 8%
South Korea Presidential Poll: Lee Jae-myung Leads Amidst Shifting Political Landscape
Table of Contents
- South Korea Presidential Poll: Lee Jae-myung Leads Amidst Shifting Political Landscape
- South Korea Presidential Poll: Your Questions Answered
- Who is leading in the South Korean Presidential Poll?
- How much support does Lee Jae-myung have?
- Who are the other prominent candidates in the running?
- How do party supporters view the candidates?
- Is there a desire for a change in government?
- What do hypothetical three-party scenarios reveal?
- What is the expected voter turnout?
- How do the parties currently stand in terms of support?
- What is the survey methodology?
- Where can I find more data about the poll?
SEOUL, South Korea – Democratic Party presidential candidate lee Jae-myung shows strong support in the latest National Indicator Survey (NBS), conducted from April 21-23. The poll of 1,500 adults over 18 indicates a notable preference for Lee, alongside insights into party support and voter sentiment regarding a change in government.
Lee Jae-myung’s Candidacy Gains Traction
According to the NBS poll, 41% of respondents believe Lee Jae-myung is suitable for the next president. This marks the first time his support has surpassed 40% since January. The survey, executed by Embrace Rainper Blick, Case Stats Research, Korea Research, and Korea Research, also reveals that Lee’s suitability rating increased by 2 percentage points compared to the previous week.
Other Candidates in the Running
While Lee Jae-myung leads, other potential candidates also garnered support. Hong Joon-pyo and Kim Moon-soo each received 10% and 8% respectively. Han Dong-hoon polled at 3%, while Ahn cheol-soo and Lee Jun-seok of the Reform Party both registered 3%.
Notably, support for Hong and Kim increased by 2 percentage points each, matching each other’s figures in this week’s survey. The overall “suitable candidate” response also saw a 2-point rise.
Party Supporter Preferences
Within the Democratic Party, 87% of supporters view Lee Jae-myung as a suitable candidate. Among People’s Power supporters, Kim Moon-soo received 28% support, Hong Joon-pyo 24%, and Lee Jae-myung 21%. Eighteen percent of People’s Power supporters indicated no suitable candidate or offered no response.
Desire for Regime Change
The poll also gauged public sentiment on the current governance. Fifty percent of respondents expressed a desire for a change in regime, while 39% favored re-creation of the existing regime.
Compared to the previous week, the survey indicated a stronger preference for electing an opposition candidate to facilitate a change in government in the upcoming presidential election.
Hypothetical Three-party Scenarios
The NBS survey explored potential outcomes in a hypothetical three-party race involving the Democratic Party, People’s Power, and the Reformed Party. Several scenarios were presented:
- Lee Jae-myung (46%), Kim Moon-soo (25%), Lee Jun-seok (9%)
- Lee Jae-myung (45%), Han Dong-hoon (21%), Lee Jun-seok (8%)
- Lee Jae-myung (46%), Ahn Cheol-soo (17%), Lee Jun-seok (7%)
Prime Minister Han Duk-soo was not included in the list of potential presidential candidates in this survey.
Voter Turnout and party Support
The survey suggests strong voter engagement, with 82% indicating they would “definitely vote” in the presidential election. An additional 12% said they would vote “if possible.” only 5% expressed an intention not to vote.
Regarding party support, the Democratic Party holds 38% and the People’s Power 35%.Democratic support increased by 1 percentage point from the previous week, while People’s Power saw a 5-point increase.
Methodology
The National Indicator Survey was conducted via telephone interviews using mobile phone virtual numbers (100%). The sample error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. The response rate was 20.0%.
Further details can be found on the Central Election Polls Review Committee website.
Updated April 24,2025
South Korea Presidential Poll: Your Questions Answered
This article provides a Q&A-style overview of the latest National Indicator Survey (NBS) regarding the South Korean Presidential Poll. We’ll break down the key findings,examine the political landscape,and explore voter sentiment.
Who is leading in the South Korean Presidential Poll?
According to the latest National Indicator Survey (NBS), Democratic Party presidential candidate Lee Jae-myung is leading. The poll,conducted from April 21-23,indicates strong support for Lee.
How much support does Lee Jae-myung have?
The NBS poll shows that 41% of respondents believe Lee Jae-myung is suitable for the next president. This is the first time his support has exceeded 40% since january. His suitability rating increased by 2 percentage points compared to the previous week.
Who are the other prominent candidates in the running?
While lee Jae-myung leads, several other candidates have garnered support:
Hong Joon-pyo: 10%
Kim Moon-soo: 8%
Han Dong-hoon: 3%
ahn Cheol-soo (Reform Party): 3%
Lee Jun-seok (Reform Party): 3%
It’s worth noting that support for Hong Joon-pyo and Kim Moon-soo both increased by 2 percentage points each in this week’s survey.
How do party supporters view the candidates?
The survey reveals important differences in candidate preferences based on party affiliation:
Democratic Party supporters: 87% view lee Jae-myung as a suitable candidate.
people’s power Supporters:
Kim Moon-soo: 28%
hong Joon-pyo: 24%
Lee Jae-myung: 21%
No suitable candidate/No response: 18%
Is there a desire for a change in government?
Yes, the poll indicates a significant desire for change. 50% of respondents expressed a desire for a change in regime, while 39% favored the re-creation of the existing regime.The survey also shows a stronger preference for electing an opposition candidate compared to the previous week.
What do hypothetical three-party scenarios reveal?
The NBS explored potential outcomes in a hypothetical three-party race involving the Democratic Party, People’s Power, and the Reformed Party. Here are a few of the scenarios presented:
Lee Jae-myung (46%), Kim Moon-soo (25%), Lee Jun-seok (9%)
Lee jae-myung (45%), Han Dong-hoon (21%), Lee Jun-seok (8%)
Lee jae-myung (46%), Ahn Cheol-soo (17%), Lee Jun-seok (7%)
It’s significant to note that Prime Minister Han Duk-soo was not included as a potential candidate in this survey.
What is the expected voter turnout?
The survey suggests strong voter engagement. 82% of respondents indicated they would “definitely vote” in the upcoming presidential election. Another 12% said they would vote ”if possible.” Only 5% expressed an intention not to vote.
How do the parties currently stand in terms of support?
The poll provides insights into current party support:
democratic Party: 38%
People’s Power: 35%
Democratic Party support increased by 1-percentage point from the previous week with People’s Power increasing by 5-points.
What is the survey methodology?
The National Indicator Survey was conducted via telephone interviews using mobile phone virtual numbers. Key methodological details:
Method: Telephone interviews
Sample: 1,500 adults over 18
Sampling Method: Mobile phone virtual numbers (100%)
Sample: 1,500 adults over 18
Sample Error: ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level
Response Rate: 20.0%
Where can I find more data about the poll?
Further details can be found on the Central Election polls Review committee website.
To summarize the key findings of the survey, here’s a table:
| Key finding | Details |
|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung’s Support | 41% suitability rating, exceeding 40% for the first time since January. |
| Other Candidates | hong Joon-pyo (10%), Kim Moon-soo (8%), Han Dong-hoon (3%), Ahn Cheol-soo (3%), Lee Jun-seok (3%). |
| Party Supporter Preferences | 87% of Democratic Party supporters back Lee Jae-myung. |
| Desire for Change | 50% of respondents want a regime change. |
| Voter Turnout | 82% intend to vote, showing strong engagement. |
| Party Support | Democratic Party (38%),People’s Power (35%). |