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Maharashtra Elections 2024: BJP Set to Dominate, Predictions from Axis My India Exit Poll

Maharashtra Elections 2024: BJP Set to Dominate, Predictions from Axis My India Exit Poll

November 22, 2024 Catherine Williams - Chief Editor News

Maharashtra Elections 2024: Axis My India Exit Poll Results

The Axis My India exit poll predicts that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will be the largest party in the upcoming Maharashtra assembly election, scheduled for 2024. The poll results reveal that the Mahayuti coalition, which includes BJP, is likely to secure between 178 to 200 seats, capturing about 48% of the vote share.

Detailed Predictions:

  • BJP: Expected to win 98 to 107 seats with 27% vote share.
  • Shiv Sena (Eknath Shinde-led): Projected to gain 53 to 58 seats and about 13% of the vote share.
  • NCP (Ajit Pawar-led): Anticipated to receive 7% of the vote share and win 25 to 30 seats.
  • Smaller Mahayuti Partners: May achieve 2 to 5 seats with 1% vote share.
  • Vanchit Bahujan Aghadi: Likely to receive 3% of the vote, with expectations of not winning any seats.
  • Other Parties and Independents: Expected to hold around 12% of the vote share and win 6 to 12 seats.

Predictions for Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA):

  • Congress: Expected to win between 28 to 36 seats and gain 13% of the votes.
  • Shiv Sena UBT (Uddhav Thackeray-led): Projected to receive about 12% of the vote and win 26 to 32 seats.
  • NCP (Sharad Pawar-led): Likely to secure 26 to 30 seats with an 11% vote share.
  • SP and PWPI: Estimated to win 2 to 4 seats with around 1% vote share.

Chief Minister Predictions:

Current Maharashtra CM Eknath Shinde is the top choice for the Chief Minister’s position, followed by Uddhav Thackeray.

This exit poll provides a snapshot of the political landscape ahead of the Maharashtra assembly elections, indicating the likely dominance of the Mahayuti coalition and key player positions for the upcoming government formation.

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