The MLB model has spoken: Underdog picks are the plays to make on Saturday,May 31,spotlighting potential upsets from the Rangers,Brewers,and Pirates. This week’s MLB picks, based on a model simulating each game 10,000 times, have already shown promise, with a profitable 27-21 (56%) record. The Rangers’ money line against the Cardinals, the Brewers’ run line against the phillies, and the Pirates’ money line against the Padres are drawing attention. A parlay of these picks could yield +1026. Want more? News Directory 3 offers insights, including run line, total, and money-line picks. Discover what’s next for your wagers.
MLB Underdog picks: Model Favors Rangers, Pirates, Brewers on Saturday
Updated May 31, 2025
Baseball bettors are eyeing Saturday’s 15-game MLB slate, with intriguing matchups such as Braves-Red Sox and Yankees-Dodgers drawing meaningful attention. While Atlanta is a -187 favorite against Boston, and New York is slightly favored at -120 versus Los Angeles, value can be found in unexpected places.
An MLB betting model suggests focusing on underdog picks. The model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, has identified the Rangers, Brewers and Pirates as potential surprise winners. This comes after the Nationals, as +190 underdogs, upset the Diamondbacks.
The model enters Week 10 of the 2025 MLB season with a profitable 27-21 (56%) record on top-rated MLB betting picks. A parlay of the model’s three picks at DraftKings Sportsbook could yield a payout of +1026.
Rangers Money Line vs. cardinals (+126)
After a dominant 11-1 victory in Game 1, the Rangers look too continue their offensive surge. Marcus Semien had a standout performance, going 4-for-4. With Patrick Corbin boasting a 3.75 ERA and Sonny Gray struggling on the road with a 6.75 ERA, the model projects Texas to win in over 50% of simulations.
Brewers Run Line +1.5 vs. Phillies (-137)
The Phillies’ recent struggles, losing three of their last five, contrast with the Brewers’ five-game winning streak. the model projects a narrow Phillies win by just 0.3 runs, suggesting the Brewers will stay within the +1.5 run line nearly 70% of the time.
Pirates Money line vs. Padres (+188)
The Pirates, showing signs of life on their West Coast trip, aim to build on their series win against the Diamondbacks. Bailey Falter’s notable 0.92 ERA in May supports the model’s projection of another tight game. Pittsburgh is given a 44% chance of winning, making them a strong underdog value.
What’s next
Beyond these selections, the model offers run line, total and money-line picks for every game. Bettors can explore further MLB picks for informed wagering decisions.
