NBA Conference Finals MVP Odds: Who Will Win It All in 2024?

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The NBA’s postseason semifinals have arrived, and with them, the first major betting opportunities for the Eastern and Western Conference Finals MVPs. As of May 18, 2026, DraftKings Sportsbook odds highlight the clear favorites: New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson in the East and Oklahoma City Thunder superstar Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (SGA) in the West.

SGA enters as the heavy favorite in the West (-230), a position reinforced by his dominance throughout the regular season and playoffs. The Canadian guard has already secured back-to-back regular-season MVPs and is favored to complete a historic trifecta—regular-season MVP, Western Conference Finals MVP, and NBA Finals MVP—if the Thunder advance. His Thunder squad, fresh off back-to-back best regular-season records, has swept through the first two rounds of the playoffs, setting up a highly anticipated Western Conference Finals showdown with the San Antonio Spurs.

In the East, Brunson (+320) leads the Knicks into their second Eastern Conference Finals berth in three years. The Knicks have won seven straight playoff games, and Brunson has been their offensive engine, averaging 29.0 points and 6.0 assists in the second round against the Philadelphia 76ers, shooting 51.3% from the field and 44.8% from three. His consistency has made him the odds-on choice among Knicks players, with Donovan Mitchell (+320) of the Cleveland Cavaliers as the only other guard with significant odds.

Western Conference Finals MVP Odds

The Thunder’s path to the Western Conference Finals is clear, but the MVP race hinges on SGA’s ability to sustain his elite play. Victor Wembanyama (+230), the Spurs’ rookie sensation, is the only other player with meaningful odds. Wembanyama, who made his playoff debut this season, has quickly become a defensive anchor and offensive threat, though his statistical impact remains to be seen in a high-pressure series. The Thunder’s depth and defensive prowess—particularly their ability to contain Wembanyama—will be decisive.

Beyond the top two, the odds drop sharply: Chet Holmgren (+4000), Jalen Williams (+5000), Stephon Castle (+7000), and De’Aaron Fox (+10000) reflect the longshot nature of their MVP chances. The Thunder’s balanced attack and SGA’s two-way dominance make him the safest bet, though Wembanyama’s rapid rise could alter the narrative if the Spurs force a Game 7.

Eastern Conference Finals MVP Odds

Brunson’s odds reflect his recent form, but the Cavaliers’ Donovan Mitchell (+320) remains a darkhorse candidate. Mitchell led Cleveland to a Game 7 victory over the top-seeded Detroit Pistons, averaging 28.1 points and 5.6 rebounds in the series. His ability to elevate his game in clutch moments—including a 26-point, 6-rebound, 8-assist performance in Game 7—has cemented his role as the Cavs’ primary offensive weapon.

Karl-Anthony Towns (+1200) and James Harden (+1200) of the Knicks, along with OG Anunoby (+3500) and Evan Mobley (+4000) of the Cavs, round out the board. Towns has been the Knicks’ most consistent scorer, while Harden’s veteran leadership could prove crucial if the series extends. Anunoby’s injury status remains a wild card, though he has reportedly participated in practice, suggesting he could be available for the series.

Key Storylines to Watch

The Eastern Conference Finals will feature two of the NBA’s most dynamic offenses: the Knicks’ fast-paced attack and the Cavs’ balanced scoring. Brunson’s playmaking and Mitchell’s scoring will be under the microscope, as both guards have carried their teams to this stage. The Knicks’ defense, however, has been their Achilles’ heel, and if the Cavs can exploit mismatches, Mitchell’s odds could rise.

In the West, the Thunder’s ability to control the pace will be critical. SGA thrives in a controlled environment, but the Spurs’ size and athleticism—particularly Wembanyama’s versatility—could force OKC into a more physical, half-court game. If Wembanyama continues his playoff run, his MVP odds could climb, though SGA’s historical dominance makes him the prohibitive favorite.

Betting markets often reflect recent form, and both Brunson and SGA have delivered in the playoffs. However, the unpredictable nature of the NBA’s postseason means upsets are always possible. The Thunder’s depth and SGA’s two-way impact give them the edge in the West, while the East remains wide open, with Brunson’s Knicks and Mitchell’s Cavs both capable of stealing the MVP crown.

One thing is certain: the road to the NBA Finals just got more interesting.