NBA DFS & Betting: Feb 4 Picks, Trends & Prop Bets | Durant, Jokic & More

Wednesday night’s NBA schedule features a compelling slate of games, with several contests carrying significant weight as teams navigate the 2025-26 season. Matchups include the New Orleans Pelicans at the Milwaukee Bucks, the Boston Celtics at the Houston Rockets, the Denver Nuggets at the New York Knicks and the Minnesota Timberwolves at the Toronto Raptors.

Pelicans vs. Bucks: A Road Test for New Orleans

The New Orleans Pelicans (13-39) face a tough road challenge against the Milwaukee Bucks at Fiserv Forum. The Pelicans have struggled on the road, dropping 20 of their first 25 away games. They currently hold the second-worst overall record in the league. The betting consensus currently has the Pelicans favored by 4.5 points with an over/under of 222.5 points, a line that hasn’t shifted from the opening odds.

Celtics and Rockets Clash in Houston

The Boston Celtics (32-18) travel to Houston to take on the Rockets. Boston has been in strong form, winning eight of their last 11 games and are tied with New York for second place in their conference. The Houston Rockets (31-17) are favored by 5.5 points with an over/under of 213.5 points. This line has shifted from the opening odds of HOU -5.5 o216.5.

Nuggets and Knicks Battle at Madison Square Garden

The Denver Nuggets (33-18) visit the New York Knicks (32-18) in a matchup at Madison Square Garden. The Nuggets have been successful on the road, winning 19 of their first 27 away games and are a game out of the lead in their conference. The Knicks opened as 4.5-point favorites with a total of 226.5, but the consensus line has moved to the Knicks being favored by 7.5 points with an over/under of 224.5.

Timberwolves Face Raptors in Toronto

The Minnesota Timberwolves (31-20) are on the road to face the Toronto Raptors (30-21) at Scotiabank Arena. The Timberwolves have a 66% ATS record. The Raptors opened as 1.5-point favorites with a total of 225.5, but the consensus line has shifted to the Timberwolves being favored by 2.5 points with an over/under of 227.5.

Betting Trends and Expert Picks

According to VegasInsider.com, as of February 4, 2026, the Denver Nuggets have a 30-21 record against the spread (ATS) with a 64% cover rate, and a 33-18 straight-up record. The New York Knicks are 28-23 ATS (36% cover rate) and 32-18 straight-up. The Minnesota Timberwolves are 23-28 ATS (66% cover rate) and 31-20 straight-up, while the Toronto Raptors are 24-27 ATS (34% cover rate) and 30-21 straight-up.

CBS Sports’ NBA expert picks show a season record of 372-380-1 against the spread (49%) and 350-403-0 on over/under bets (46%).

Player Prop Bets and Notable Trends

Recent betting activity, as of Tuesday, February 3, 2026, showed significant interest in player props. While specific prop details for today’s games weren’t provided, the data indicates a strong focus on player performance in the betting market. Peter’s Points from Sports Illustrated highlighted potential prop bets for Kevin Durant and Nikola Jokic, but specific details were not provided.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (40-11) have been a strong performer against the spread this season, with a 69% cover rate. The San Antonio Spurs (33-16) have a 38% cover rate. The Cleveland Cavaliers (30-21) have a 74% ATS record.

Looking Ahead

These games offer a snapshot of the competitive landscape in the NBA as teams push towards the playoffs. The Nuggets and Knicks matchup is particularly intriguing given their strong records and the line movement suggesting increased confidence in the Knicks. The Pelicans’ road struggles will be a key factor in their game against the Bucks, while the Celtics will look to continue their winning form against the Rockets. The Timberwolves and Raptors game presents a close contest, with the line shift indicating a potential advantage for Minnesota.