NDIS for Autism: Moving Children to Thriving Support
- Australia's National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) faces growing financial pressures, prompting a notable policy shift.
- Currently, one in five young children in Australia is on the autism spectrum or experiences developmental delays, a substantially higher rate than the one in 50 people with...
- The Thriving Kids program aims to fill the void left by the lack of accessible mainstream support services.
Thriving Kids: A New Approach too Early Intervention and the NDIS
Table of Contents
Published August 20, 2025
The Challenge: NDIS Sustainability and Early Support
Australia’s National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) faces growing financial pressures, prompting a notable policy shift. Disability Minister Mark Butler announced a plan, unveiled at the National Press Club, to redirect children with autism and developmental delays away from the NDIS and into a new, dedicated program called Thriving Kids. This move, while intended to ensure the NDIS remains sustainable, acknowledges a critical gap in early intervention services and the current system’s limitations.
Currently, one in five young children in Australia is on the autism spectrum or experiences developmental delays, a substantially higher rate than the one in 50 people with a significant disability covered by the NDIS. Butler stated that families often have no alternative but to enroll their children in a scheme designed for lifelong disability, simply to access necessary support.This has inadvertently strained the NDIS budget and diverted resources from those with more complex, permanent needs.
Introducing Thriving Kids: A Focus on Early intervention
The Thriving Kids program aims to fill the void left by the lack of accessible mainstream support services. It will focus on providing early intervention strategies, considered crucial for maximizing a child’s potential.The program will leverage existing medicare items for services like occupational therapy, speech pathology, and psychosocial therapy. A key component will be a new bulk-billed health check for three-year-olds, designed to identify developmental concerns early on.
Butler emphasized that no children currently on the NDIS will be instantly transitioned to Thriving Kids. The program will be fully operational before any shifts occur, ensuring continuity of care. The government has committed an initial $2 billion to the program, with matching contributions expected from state and territory governments.
Financial Realities and NDIS Reform
the need for reform stems from the NDIS’s escalating costs. In the 2025/26 financial year, the scheme is projected to cost taxpayers over $52 billion. While legislation passed in 2024 capped annual spending growth at eight percent, Butler argues that a more sustainable rate lies between five and six percent. He points out that there has been no significant increase in the prevalence of disability in the community, and with the NDIS fully rolled out, growth shoudl align with inflation and population growth.
The current trajectory, if unchecked, threatens the long-term viability of the NDIS. Butler acknowledged the difficulty of this change for parents, stating, “I know this will be hard for some parents to hear and I don’t say it lightly.” However, he maintains that redirecting appropriate cases to Thriving Kids is essential for preserving the NDIS for those who truly need it.
Expert Reactions and Concerns
the proclamation has been met with a mix of cautious optimism and concern. Nicole Rogerson, CEO of Autism Awareness, described Thriving Kids as a “once-in-a-generation change” in how developmental pediatrics is approached, praising Butler for “owning what the problem is.” Megan Spindler-Smith, acting CEO of People with Disability, expressed relief that the new program would be established before any transitions from the NDIS occur.
However, Aspect, a leading autism organization, stressed the importance of ensuring families retain access to the right level of support. Jacqui Borland, Aspect’s CEO, emphasized the need for “continuity of supports, real choice and control, and no gaps during the transition.” Families understandably want reassurance that their children will not experiance disruptions in care.
Understanding the NDIS Growth – A Data Snapshot
| Year | NDIS Expenditure (AUD Billions) | Projected Growth Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | 45.5 | 12% |
| 2024/25 | 49.8 | 10% |
| 2025/26 | 52.0+ | 8% (capped) |
