NFL Draft 2026 First-Round Odds Revealed: How Las Vegas Predicts the 32 Picks Will Unfold

The betting odds for the 2026 NFL Draft’s first round have been released, offering a clear projection of how Las Vegas sportsbooks anticipate the opening night will unfold. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza is the overwhelming favorite to be selected first overall by the Las Vegas Raiders, with odds of -20000 reflecting near-certainty in his status as the draft’s top prospect.

Beyond the first pick, the odds reveal a draft class marked by significant uncertainty, particularly from the second selection onward. While Mendoza’s status as the No. 1 pick is described as “the one true lock” of the 2026 class, DraftKings’ projections show minimal separation among several prospects for early positions, with many picks featuring odds shorter than 10-to-1 and often shorter than 5-to-1, indicating a wide range of plausible outcomes.

Outside of the first overall pick, the 2026 NFL Draft is one of the least predictable drafts in recent memory.

Jack McKessy, USA TODAY

As early as pick No. 2, things become far less certain to draft experts and sportsbooks.

Jack McKessy, USA TODAY

The rest of the 30 picks feature a handful of potential selections at odds shorter than 10-to-1 – and often shorter than 5-to-1 – suggesting more uncertainty.

Jack McKessy, USA TODAY

One day before the draft is set to begin, DraftKings Sportsbook has betting odds projecting the result of each of the first 32 picks this year.

Jack McKessy, USA TODAY

Mendoza is the heavy favorite to be the top pick, and the sportsbook’s projection for the No. 2 pick also has minus odds.

Jack McKessy, USA TODAY

Here’s how the 2026 NFL Draft might look if each pick went the way DraftKings Sportsbooks odds suggest:

Jack McKessy, USA TODAY

1. Las Vegas Raiders: QB Fernando Mendoza, Indiana (-20000)

Jack McKessy, USA TODAY

The one true lock of this year’s draft class. Mendoza has been projected to be the first overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft since before the NFL season – and his championship season at Indiana – was over. The betting odds “agree” here, with all signs pointing to the Raiders to make the Heisman Trophy winner their quarterback of the future….

Jack McKessy, USA TODAY

The 2026 NFL Draft heads to Pittsburgh from April 23-25, offering bettors a prime market for props, first-pick odds, and team strategy plays. Held near Acrisure Stadium, this event shapes futures markets instantly.

Las Vegas Sports Betting

The Las Vegas Raiders control the No. 1 overall pick after a brutal 3–14 season, while the reigning champion Seattle Seahawks close Round 1 at No. 32.

Las Vegas Sports Betting

With coverage across NFL Network, ESPN, and ABC, expect heavy line movement as rumors, trades, and insider leaks create sharp betting opportunities throughout draft weekend.

Las Vegas Sports Betting

Here are the Live Futures Odds: Updated: April 22, 2026 First Round Picks Number 1 Overall Pick Fernando Mendoza (IND)   -50000

Las Vegas Sports Betting

Arvell Reese (OSU)   +12500 Rueben Bain Jr. (MIA)   +12500 Ty Simpson (ALA)   +30000 Caleb Downs (OSU)   +30000 Keldric Faulk (AUB)   +30000 Jordyn Tyson (ASU)   +30000 Carnell Tate (OSU)   +30000 Spencer Fano (UTAH)   +30000 Francis Mauigoa (MIA)   +30000 T.J….

Las Vegas Sports Betting

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Eric Edholm 2026 NFL mock draft 3.0: Giants double down on Buckeyes; Cowboys make bold choice at LB

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Pick1 Las Vegas Raiders Fernando Mendoza Indiana · QB · Junior (RS)

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Pick2 New York Jets Arvell Reese Ohio State · LB/Edge · Junior

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Pick3 Arizona Cardinals David Bailey Texas Tech · Edge · Senior

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Pick4 Tennessee Titans Jeremiyah Love Notre Dame · RB · Junior

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Programming note: Tune in for live coverage of Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft beginning at 8 p.m. ET on April 23 on NFL Network, NFL+, the NFL Channel, ABC, ESPN and ESPN Deportes.

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I’d love to see the Raiders swing back with their second pick (No. 36 overall) to grab a receiver or O-lineman to give Mendoza a stronger offensive supporting cast.

Eric Edholm, NFL.com

When I saw reports that the Jets canceled David Bailey’s top-30 visit, I interpreted that to mean they’ve already found their guy in Reese. There could be a learning curve for the hybrid defender, but his upside is special.

Eric Edholm, NFL.com

This one doesn’t feel set to me, with OT Francis Mauigoa looking like another possible option, while trading down would, I’d think, be the ultimate dream. But Bailey would add another rush threat to what should be a terrific Cardinals front.

Eric Edholm, NFL.com

The obvious fit here, between prospect, need and draft position, is too strong for me to ignore….

Eric Edholm, NFL.com

[ESPN] 2026 NFL draft intel, notes: What Adam Schefter is hearing

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2026 NFL Draft Odds & Props NFL FootballNFL FootballSelect page2026 NFL Draft

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Regular Season MVPNFL Specials OddsFutures    2027 Super Bowl LXI    AFC Championship    NFC Championship    NFL Division    Super Bowl LXI Matchup    Super Bowl LXI ResultNFL Odds & ScoresNFL Parlay PicksNFL Player Props Event: 2026 NFL Draft Date:  Thu, Apr 23, 2026 – Sat, Apr 25, 2026 Venue: Pittsburgh’s North Shore and Point State Park Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Network: ESPN, ABC & NFL Network

Las Vegas Sports Betting

The 2026 NFL Draft heads to Pittsburgh from April 23–25, offering bettors a prime market for props, first-pick odds, and team strategy plays. Held near Acrisure Stadium, this event shapes futures markets instantly.

Las Vegas Sports Betting

With coverage across NFL Network, ESPN, and ABC, expect heavy line movement as rumors, trades, and insider leaks create sharp betting opportunities throughout draft weekend.

Las Vegas Sports Betting

Here are the Live Futures Odds: Updated: April 22, 2026 First Round Picks Number 1 Overall Pick Fernando Mendoza (IND)   -50000 Arvell Reese (OSU)   +12500 Rueben Bain Jr. (MIA)   +12500 Ty Simpson (ALA)   +30000 Caleb Downs (OSU)   +30000 Keldric Faulk (AUB)   +30000 Jordyn Tyson (ASU)   +30000 Carnell Tate (OSU)   +30000 Spencer Fano (UTAH)   +30000 Francis Mauigoa (MIA)   +30000 T.J….

Las Vegas Sports Betting

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3 days ago … Are the Giants about to double down on Buckeyes in the top 10? Will the Cowboys get bold with their second selection on Thursday night?

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Mock Draft Eric Edholm 2026 NFL mock draft 3.0: Giants double down on Buckeyes; Cowboys make bold choice at LBPublished: Apr 20, 2026 at 10:24 AMEric EdholmLead Draft Writer Copied! Jeremiah 4.0Zierlein 4.0Brooks 4.0Edholm 3.07-RD mock The Giants just sent DT Dexter Lawrence to the Bengals in exchange for the No. 10 overall pick. Is that blockbuster deal a sign of things to come on Thursday night in Pittsburgh? I think some activity will happen when the picks start flying, but I don’t have a strong feeling about what those specific moves will look like — so I’m playing my final mock draft of 2026 straight and not projecting any trades. I also know this might not be the most talent-laden Round 1 of all time, but plenty of interesting developments could unfold. Here’s a reasonable guess as to how it might all play out.Programming note: Tune in for live coverage of Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft beginning at 8 p.m. ET on April 23 on NFL Network, NFL+, the NFL Channel, ABC, ESPN and ESPN Deportes.Pick1Las Vegas Raiders Fernando MendozaIndiana · QB · Junior (RS)I’d love to see the Raiders swing back with their second pick (No. 36 overall) to grab a receiver or O-lineman to give Mendoza a stronger offensive supporting cast. Pick2New York Jets Arvell ReeseOhio State · LB/Edge · JuniorWhen I saw reports that the Jets canceled David Bailey’s top-30 visit, I interpreted that to mean they’ve already found their guy in Reese. There could be a learning curve for the hybrid defender, but his upside is special.Pick3Arizona Cardinals David BaileyTexas Tech · Edge · SeniorThis one doesn’t feel set to me, with OT Francis Mauigoa looking like another possible option, while trading down would, I’d think, be the ultimate dream. But Bailey would add another rush threat to what should be a terrific Cardinals front. Pick4Tennessee Titans Jeremiyah LoveNotre Dame · RB · JuniorThe obvious fit here, between prospect, need and draft position, is too strong for me to ignore….

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