NFL Power Rankings 2025: Super Bowl Odds & Projections
- The Philadelphia Eagles are the team to beat in the race for Super Bowl LX, but their lead is slim, according to ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI).
- The Eagles possess a 12% chance of winning the Super Bowl, the lowest for a preseason favorite since the FPI model began preseason projections in 2015.
- The FPI preseason ratings rely primarily on betting market win totals and team schedules.
The Philadelphia Eagles are slight favorites to win super Bowl LX, per ESPN’s FPI, but the race is tight. News Directory 3 breaks down the latest NFL power rankings, revealing the top contenders, including the Chiefs, Bills, and Ravens. discover which teams boast the strongest offenses and defenses as they vie for the primary_keyword crown, with a possible Eagles-Chiefs rematch on the cards. Analyze the secondary_keyword chances of each team. Discover what’s next for your team.
Eagles Edge Out rivals as Super Bowl LX Favorite
Updated May 28, 2025
The Philadelphia Eagles are the team to beat in the race for Super Bowl LX, but their lead is slim, according to ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI). The FPI, which launched Wednesday, assesses team strength and projects season outcomes.
The Eagles possess a 12% chance of winning the Super Bowl, the lowest for a preseason favorite since the FPI model began preseason projections in 2015. Several teams closely trail Philadelphia in the Super Bowl LX hunt.
The FPI preseason ratings rely primarily on betting market win totals and team schedules. The model also considers the difference between starting and backup quarterbacks, plus special teams performance. Simulations are run thousands of times to generate projections.
The model evolves throughout the season, incorporating offensive, defensive and special teams performance, opponent strength, quarterback play and other variables. Home-field advantage and rest differentials also factor into game predictions.
According to the FPI, the NFL’s elite teams consist of the Eagles, Kansas city Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens, Detroit Lions and Buffalo Bills. these teams are separated by a single point in FPI rating.A meaningful drop-off occurs between the Bills and the Washington Commanders.
A strong offense is a common trait among the top five teams. Offenses with the best past quarterback and offensive production are more likely to repeat that success. The eagles have the best defense, bolstered by linebacker Zack Baun and young talents such as Jalen Carter, Quinyon Mitchell and Cooper DeJean.
First look at NFL FPI ratings for the 2025 season! pic.twitter.com/k6s2fg40X7
— Seth Walder (@SethWalder) May 27, 2025
The top five teams each have at least an 8% chance to win the Super Bowl. There is a 50% chance that one of these teams will win it all.No other team has greater than a 5% chance.
Eagles-Chiefs Rematch Possible
The Super Bowl could see a familiar face-off. The FPI model gives an Eagles-Chiefs rematch a 4% chance, the highest of any potential pairing. Ravens-Eagles and Bills-Eagles matchups follow closely behind.
The NFC is represented by the Eagles, lions, commanders, Rams and 49ers in the top 10 projected Super Bowl matchups. The AFC is dominated by the Chiefs, Bills and Ravens.
NFC North Outlook
The Detroit Lions are the clear front-runner in the NFC North, according to the FPI. the Green Bay Packers are projected to finish second, followed by the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears.
Looking Ahead
As the 2025 NFL season approaches, the Super Bowl chances of these teams will continue to evolve. the FPI will adjust based on team performance, injuries and other factors, providing an updated outlook on the potential super Bowl contenders.