The Portland Trail Blazers face a pivotal decision regarding the future of center Robert Williams III as he approaches unrestricted free agency this summer. Acquired as part of the trade that sent Damian Lillard to Milwaukee in , Williams’ tenure in Portland has been marked by injury challenges, but a recent return to form is complicating the team’s plans.
Williams arrived in Portland with a reputation as one of the NBA’s premier defensive centers, honed during five seasons with the Boston Celtics. In , he earned All-Defensive Second Team honors and finished seventh in Defensive Player of the Year voting. His athleticism and defensive instincts were seen as key components of a championship-caliber team. During his time in Boston, spanning 209 games, Williams averaged 7.3 points, 6.9 rebounds, 1.4 assists and 1.7 blocks in 20.5 minutes per game. He played a significant role in the Celtics’ run to the NBA Finals.
However, injuries hampered Williams’ initial seasons with the Blazers. General Manager Joe Cronin initially anticipated potentially moving Williams for further assets as the team embarked on a rebuild, but his health issues complicated those plans. After appearing in only 26 games in his first two campaigns with Portland, Williams has shown improvement this season, playing in 39 of 57 games as of . The team has adopted a cautious approach, often resting him on back-to-back nights to manage his workload.
Despite modest averages of 6.3 points, 6.3 rebounds, 1.1 assists, and 1.4 blocks in 16.2 minutes, Williams’ impact extends beyond traditional statistics. His ability to defend both smaller, quicker players and larger opponents, combined with his timing and grit, makes him a valuable asset. He excels around the rim, scoring efficiently on lob passes, putbacks, and as a passer in traffic. This season, he’s demonstrated an improved outside shot, converting 43.8 percent of his 16 three-point attempts, though that remains a secondary element of his game.
Statistically, Williams ranks highly among big men in several key efficiency metrics. He’s fifth in points per shot attempt (1.55), sixth in effective field goal percentage (77.6 percent), second in two-point percentage (79.1 percent), and third in points at the rim (83.2 percent). Defensively, he’s fifth in block rate (4.3 percent) and ninth in defensive rebound rate (24.4 percent). These numbers underscore his effectiveness when healthy.
The Blazers’ decision is further complicated by the development of rookie center Yang Hansen. Hansen, the team’s most recent first-round pick, is not yet ready for a significant role in the NBA rotation, potentially increasing the need for a reliable backup center like Williams. If Williams departs, Cronin would likely seek a replacement, but finding a player with Williams’ combination of skills and reliability could prove challenging.
Williams’ injury history will likely limit his earning potential in free agency. While he might command a portion of the $15.1 million non-taxpayer Mid-Level Exception, a full commitment seems unlikely. This diminishes the value of the Blazers’ Bird Rights, which allow them to re-sign him at a higher salary than other teams could offer.
Williams’ decision may hinge on his assessment of the Blazers’ trajectory. A return to Portland would likely require a belief that the team is on the cusp of contention, particularly with the return of Damian Lillard and potential further roster improvements. If Williams prioritizes a chance to compete for a championship, he may seek opportunities elsewhere. The Blazers could potentially retain him for approximately $8-$9 million annually if he remains committed to the organization.
The situation presents a gamble for both sides. For the Blazers, the risk lies in Williams’ health. For Williams, the question is whether the Blazers are close enough to playoff contention to maximize his impact. While a move to a more competitive team seems plausible, a return to Portland remains a possibility if both parties are willing to accept the associated uncertainties. As reported by multiple sources, the Boston Celtics have also shown interest in a reunion, potentially offering Williams a chance to contend immediately.
The Los Angeles Lakers have also been mentioned as a potential suitor, particularly if Williams becomes a buyout candidate. However, the Blazers’ willingness to facilitate a buyout remains unclear. The coming weeks will be crucial as both Williams and the Blazers evaluate their options and determine the best path forward.
