Rupiah to USD Exchange Rate – November 26, 2025

Here’s a breakdown of the key information from the provided text, categorized for clarity:

1. Currency Market ⁤Performance (November 25, 2025, 3:00⁣ PM WIB):

* Indonesian rupiah (IDR): Strengthened 0.25% to IDR 16,656 per⁢ US dollar.
* US Dollar index: Strengthened 0.02% to 100.16.
* ‍ Other Asian Currencies:

* ⁢ ⁢ Strengthened: Japanese Yen (0.15%),Hong Kong Dollar (0.07%), Singapore Dollar (0.14%), South Korean Won ⁤(0.39%), Chinese Yuan (0.11%), Malaysian Ringgit (0.05%), Thai Baht (0.21%).
* Weakened: Philippine Peso (0.06%).
* ⁣ Stagnant: Taiwan Dollar.

2. Factors Influencing Currency Markets – US Federal‍ Reserve ⁣(Fed) & economic Data:

* ⁣ Expectation of Rate Cuts: Market players are increasingly confident the fed will cut interest rates at its December meeting.
* ‍ Dovish Fed Signals: Comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller and New York Fed President ⁤John Williams support a potential 25 basis point (bps) ⁣rate cut in December.
* Probability of Rate ⁣Cut: The CME fedwatch tool indicates a nearly 80% chance of a rate cut, up from 30% previously.
* Upcoming Economic Data: Markets are awaiting US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Retail Sales data for further clues.⁤ PPI is expected to rise 0.3% MoM in September, and Retail Sales ⁣are projected ‍to increase 0.4% MoM.

3. Indonesian⁤ Economic Outlook & goverment Policy:

* Government Goal: president Prabowo Subianto aims for a balanced or surplus budget ⁢(no deficit) by 2027/2028.
*⁣ ⁣ Current Deficit Target: The 2026 budget deficit target is ⁣2.48% ‍of GDP.
* Revised Deficit Target: The Ministry of Finance increased the 2026 deficit target to 2.68% of GDP, which was approved by the House of Representatives.

In essence,⁢ the article highlights⁤ a generally positive trend for most Asian currencies, driven by expectations of a more dovish ⁣US Federal‍ Reserve policy. It also⁣ touches on Indonesia’s fiscal goals and a recent adjustment‍ to its deficit target.