Russia’s Goals in Ukraine: US Intelligence Assessment
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* ongoing Talks: Talks aimed at ending the Russia-Ukraine war are continuing, with the next session scheduled for monday AEDT. These follow meetings on Saturday AEDT with Ukrainian and European officials.
* Constructive Dialog: Kirill Dmitriev, Putin’s special envoy, described the talks as “constructive.”
* Security Guarantees: US, Ukrainian, and European negotiators have reached a broad consensus on security guarantees for ukraine, backed by the US, to protect against future Russian aggression.
* Territorial Dispute: There’s disagreement about the conditions for these guarantees. Some sources claim they require ukraine to cede territory to Russia, while others say this isn’t the case and alternatives are being explored, as Zelensky has rejected territorial concessions.
* Proposed Security Force: The guarantees involve deploying a mostly European security force in neighboring countries and within Ukraine (away from the front lines) to deter future Russian attacks.
* Ukrainian Military Cap: Ukraine’s military would be capped at 800,000 personnel under the proposed guarantees.
The image shows a past meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin in Alaska.
