S&P 500: Pullback & Rally – Seasonality Outlook
- The SPX index's performance is closely tracking post-election year seasonality, a pattern observed since 1928.
- The index previously targeted specific levels based on Fibonacci Elliott Wave principles,including $6,125,$6,000,and $6,150-$6,200.Adjustments were made to these targets on June 6, modifying them to $6,025-$6,060, $5,960, and...
- However, the SPX index has since stagnated, returning to mid-May price levels around $5,960.
Uncover the SPX index’s predictable dance with post-election year seasonality. News Directory 3 has the latest analysis, revealing how the SPX index mirrors historical trends. we dissect the anticipated short-term low followed by a rally, a crucial aspect of market behavior. This report helps you understand the ebb and flow of market targets, including the recent adjustments to Fibonacci Elliott Wave levels. Learn about the potential top formation and how the index’s current market role aligns with broader seasonal patterns. We review the forecasts that pinpointed the high and low occurrences,reinforcing the correlation. Delve into the Elliott Wave counts and broader market movements.Anticipate upcoming price movements and the potential for significant gains. Discover what’s next for the S&P 500,its projected trajectory,and the factors impacting its role.
SPX Index Shows Post-Election Year Seasonality, Market Role Analyzed
Updated June 20, 2025
The SPX index’s performance is closely tracking post-election year seasonality, a pattern observed since 1928. Despite some timing discrepancies, the overall trend remains consistent, suggesting a predictable market role. This analysis focuses on short-term Elliott Wave counts and broader market movements.
The index previously targeted specific levels based on Fibonacci Elliott Wave principles,including $6,125,$6,000,and $6,150-$6,200.Adjustments were made to these targets on June 6, modifying them to $6,025-$6,060, $5,960, and $6,125-$6,150, respectively. The SPX reached $6,059 on June 11, bottomed at $5,963, and than stalled at $6,051.
However, the SPX index has since stagnated, returning to mid-May price levels around $5,960. This suggests a potential larger top formation, aligning with past post-election year patterns. The current market role reflects this broader seasonal trend.
Seasonality forecasts indicated a high between June 8 and June 12, and a low between June 16 and June 22. The index peaked on June 11 and hit a low on June 13, later returning to prior levels. This alignment with forecasts supports the correlation.
what’s next
Assuming the correlation holds, a low is anticipated in the coming days, followed by a 4- to 6-week rally.This rally should complete the green W-1/a, after wich a multi-month pullback to SPX 5400-5600 is expected. Despite this pullback, the index is still projected to reach $6,700-$7,100, continuing the rally from the 2020 low.